Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b326acfd92e249ff13165fb716ce81476ebe98497283a783a73b5e426470606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $625,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $831,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 23c | 87,596$20,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,240.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba9…a9f2backed Yes | 77c | 72,157$55,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,238.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 49c | 61,222$29,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,222.98 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 48c | 40,111$19,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,777.67 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 53c | 37,984$20,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,128.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a627backed No | 51c | 30,094$15,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,347.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 75c | 25,813$19,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.96 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 53c | 23,163$12,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,237.97 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…fea5backed Yes | 52c | 19,122$9,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 50c | 11,564$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.19 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 25c | 11,473$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 9,535$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.9 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 49c | 9,137$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.91 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 47c | 6,405$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 26c | 6,250$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.01 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 6,144$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.86 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed No | 54c | 5,315$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 59c | 5,000$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.86 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 29c | 4,983$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.19 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 47c | 4,882$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…1288backed Yes | 47c | 4,815$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 77c | 4,312$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 51c | 4,073$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.13 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.94 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 57c | 3,897$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.94 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 1c | 3,459$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +15.6wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +437.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 48c | 3,120$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.29 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 52c | 2,804$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.47 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 51c | 2,470$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.81 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,405$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.49 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 63c | 2,054$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,947$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.37 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 51c | 1,901$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.31 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 52c | 1,720$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 75c | 1,685$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 52c | 1,616$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.21 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Yes | 75c | 1,483$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 29c | 1,472$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.74 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.22 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 52c | 1,413$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.83 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.04 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 49c | 1,156$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…b635backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7551…a8e9backed Yes | 47c | 1,062$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 52c | 1,046$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,024$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 73c | 1,017$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,014$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…cbc5backed No | 55c | 956.71$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.87 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 49c | 755.1$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.1 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed Yes | 49c | 695.78$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes | 58c | 668.91$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 75c | 655.49$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 15c | 642.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 48c | 631.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa441…dedebacked No | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…d5dbbacked Yes | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 53c | 572.02$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.17 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 77c | 565.29$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 53c | 561$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 53c | 521.51$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 49c | 515$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.65 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…f894backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…c22ebacked No | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 50c | 482.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.31 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes | 48c | 464.1$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 53c | 448.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked No | 52c | 433$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes | 49c | 432.69$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 54c | 430$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 47c | 425$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a02…4136backed Yes | 49c | 352.47$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 338.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 53c | 333.62$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 49c | 316.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 46c | 302.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…0775backed Yes | 66c | 302.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…3f5abacked Yes | 50c | 297.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…6871backed Yes | 48c | 295.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?this page
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.