TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$625,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$831,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,088 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No23c87,596$20,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,240.871050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba9…a9f2backed Yes77c72,157$55,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,238.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes49c61,222$29,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,222.9810650%53 W · 53 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes48c40,111$19,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,777.672524%6 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No53c37,984$20,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,128.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7705…a627backed No51c30,094$15,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,347.991643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes75c25,813$19,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,549.963941%16 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No53c23,163$12,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,237.978750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67fe…fea5backed Yes52c19,122$9,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,225.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No50c11,564$5,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,765.1911657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No25c11,473$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.64825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c9,535$3,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,257.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes49c9,137$4,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,659.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.9140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes47c6,405$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,404.751580%12 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No26c6,250$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.0113829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No27c6,144$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.8637841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No54c5,315$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8932548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes59c5,000$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.864438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed No51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5502846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No29c4,983$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,428.1913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Yes47c4,882$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes47c4,815$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Yes77c4,312$3,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.871560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No51c4,073$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.1340254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No53c4,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13068026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes57c3,897$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.949949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No1c3,459$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.477839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6008633.7%29 W · 57 L-14.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes48c3,120$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.2918740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes52c2,804$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.477825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes48c2,708$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.3311342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9915337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No52c2,500$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No51c2,470$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.8122744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes49c2,405$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.4911937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked Yes63c2,054$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.422138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.823333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes49c1,947$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.3729044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No51c1,901$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.3128443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No52c1,720$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.575742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes75c1,685$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5739561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No52c1,616$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.218362.7%52 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fda…f190backed Yes75c1,483$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No29c1,472$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes46c1,430$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No52c1,413$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.834963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes49c1,220$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.047651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3937…f693backed Yes49c1,156$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.711241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91ea…b635backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7551…a8e9backed Yes47c1,062$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308f…35cabacked No52c1,046$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.791250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes47c1,024$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.43666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes73c1,017$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x893b…188ebacked Yes46c1,014$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5208145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ea…cbc5backed No55c956.71$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477d…e691backed Yes46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.875848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Yes49c755.1$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.15644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…fe86backed Yes49c695.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Yes58c668.91$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.391040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes75c655.49$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.13262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed No15c642.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.699037.8%34 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes48c631.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa441…dedebacked No52c620$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2752…8ce3backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.242853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bd…d5dbbacked Yes49c600$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No53c572.02$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.174362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes77c565.29$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5913336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No53c561$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.127968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No53c521.51$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.414659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes49c515$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.653748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8c…7f0abacked Yes48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…f894backed No2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb7…c22ebacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes50c482.32$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3136845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4aa…d7c8backed Yes48c464.1$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.331154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+74.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No53c448.48$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.917234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8a…9aeabacked No52c433$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes49c432.69$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.692634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked No54c430$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.29943.4%43 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes47c425$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.25944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed No52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked No52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004926.5%13 W · 36 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-44.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009238%35 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a02…4136backed Yes49c352.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No10c338.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1266031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes53c333.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.125042%21 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes49c316.62$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.67256.9%41 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.124445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes46c302.98$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.613857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x620e…0775backed Yes66c302.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed Yes48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1562556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes50c297.34$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c88…6871backed Yes48c295.83$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.831656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.