Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0168b53efbac5533e6e43d6fb35936258b27fdbcc350f5c22dfe416fd6511892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 77c | 6,414$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.45 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes | 26c | 6,288$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.87 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 28c | 3,616$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,440$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,911$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…1288backed Yes | 28c | 1,791$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 73c | 1,264$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.62 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked No | 73c | 1,032$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…b3a9backed Yes | 27c | 916.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 25c | 658$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Yes | 25c | 571.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…c22ebacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 22c | 495.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 350.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 305.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 296$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 26c | 293.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…2615backed Yes | 28c | 293.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed Yes | 27c | 286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed No | 76c | 276.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…c262backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…1365backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf088…9a61backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…ee1cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…e50dbacked Yes | 27c | 188.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 73c | 149.86$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…2f89backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 24c | 104.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…7bd5backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…3924backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed No | 74c | 99.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…bdadbacked Yes | 27c | 93.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…da05backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 19c | 89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 22c | 87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…83b0backed Yes | 27c | 83.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd00…e43ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…4a3dbacked Yes | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 55.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…4f82backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…89b0backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…6e9fbacked No | 74c | 41.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 26c | 41.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed No | 75c | 40.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…2b03backed No | 73c | 40.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 73c | 38.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8914…f9bfbacked No | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…eec7backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked No | 75c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?Yes won
- Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.