Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc4967c95c90fa7138b5197a27a2748c3432191783de2f8b4021212c80548dfd

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 1, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $68,277
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,277 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8bea…2becbacked No	73c	14,073$10,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,828.87	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be0…f674backed Yes	27c	11,110$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.82	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	29c	6,952$1,982 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.64	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes	7c	6,000$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.57	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	35cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No	72c	4,549$3,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.72	402	54.7%220 W · 182 L	+14.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	73c	3,630$2,647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.13	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes	28c	3,228$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.78	406	40.9%166 W · 240 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	70c	2,675$1,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.57	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+27.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes	30c	2,167$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.29	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed No	72c	2,104$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-4.4wins	-0.17per pick	71cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No	73c	2,000$1,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No	70c	1,500$1,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	220	50%110 W · 110 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	27c	1,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.99	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfafb…68eabacked Yes	28c	1,491$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes	27c	1,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	27c	1,413$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.51	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes	27c	1,131$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.9	296	43.6%129 W · 167 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed No	70c	1,123$784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes	9c	1,102$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	29cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x747c…b3a9backed Yes	30c	1,085$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	28c	1,000$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	449	39.6%178 W · 271 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes	26c	946.11$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.99	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No	72c	799.98$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06e…f2f9backed Yes	25c	785.41$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf87…69b2backed Yes	28c	750$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes	27c	740.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes	19c	728.46$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.56	378	41.8%158 W · 220 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…f3a9backed Yes	28c	695.39$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…c392backed Yes	12c	662.7$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	36cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf6…1288backed Yes	31c	645.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e01…f5bdbacked Yes	29c	516.19$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d02…adadbacked No	74c	510.05$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.51	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	61cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70de…a1f3backed Yes	28c	502$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.56	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9204…7bd5backed Yes	25c	449.98$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No	75c	443.83$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.01	796	50.8%404 W · 392 L	+28.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc848…5ff7backed Yes	18c	424.44$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce62…73d5backed Yes	13c	411.33$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.32	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Yes	4c	400.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.78	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc4…ee71backed No	72c	392.64$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.94	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…33e3backed Yes	30c	390.97$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x346d…6cdabacked Yes	29c	388.73$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No	71c	352.99$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.37	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66db…7afbbacked Yes	18c	338.22$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes	13c	324.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f14…a422backed Yes	11c	318.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes	13c	309.48$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.09	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed No	72c	300$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe563…398bbacked No	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.15per pick	67cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes	11c	277.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-12.7wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a0…f57dbacked Yes	29c	275.69$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.95	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	59cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x401b…3107backed Yes	22c	274.43$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ce…6d96backed No	73c	274.21$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.21	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c1…16b0backed Yes	8c	262.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	660	31.2%206 W · 454 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed No	70c	249.98$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.99	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	71c	249.96$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.49	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes	29c	238.37$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.13	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-6.0wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed No	72c	209.77$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4020…11d1backed No	72c	208.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfc5…817ebacked Yes	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No	70c	201.41$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.57	79	68.4%54 W · 25 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6f…1d9fbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8237…a0debacked No	74c	198.28$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes	27c	189.92$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.28	171	43.3%74 W · 97 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7d…55f3backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb88d…291abacked No	74c	169$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.94	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf7d2…f555backed No	72c	167$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.76	182	60.4%110 W · 72 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ece…51f9backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f0…90f4backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	427	55%235 W · 192 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a20…970dbacked Yes	27c	148.15$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10d…becebacked No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d9…ef73backed No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+184.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf082…822cbacked No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	77cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa940…59bebacked Yes	29c	134.48$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bf64backed No	75c	133.6$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.6	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	67cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes	27c	126.85$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	401	35.2%141 W · 260 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes	28c	125$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c4…b7a9backed Yes	30c	120.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	28c	120$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	327	36.4%119 W · 208 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04ff…ad88backed Yes	28c	110.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1958…a85cbacked Yes	28c	109.43$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	21c	109$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.11	119	15.1%18 W · 101 L	-10.4wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed1f…3462backed Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5a…4a3dbacked Yes	10c	103.3$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+180.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes	16c	102.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes	28c	102.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.57	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…c262backed Yes	28c	100$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x193c…5b89backed Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…eb16backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b9…8069backed No	75c	92.25$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.06	30	76.7%23 W · 7 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No	76c	89.99$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	214	63.1%135 W · 79 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes	30c	80$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6c…352cbacked Yes	30c	73.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c54…99a4backed Yes	30c	73.33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	51cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee32…50c4backed Yes	29c	71.64$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	70c	71$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	466	60.5%282 W · 184 L	+30.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09aa…1d98backed No	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10c4…466fbacked No	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed No	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?this page
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event