Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x795eab1e09861d76d7cd04f942cf9eb743b78870a3aa7d7ad8d513676f22609a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 29c | 112,954$32,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,411.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 71c | 100,000$71,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,999.99 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…b4debacked Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…2d5cbacked Yes | 74c | 17,852$13,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,264 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…f43ebacked Yes | 72c | 13,020$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,374.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 12,399$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,437.9 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 10,180$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.01 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 27c | 10,043$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,286.69 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 32c | 9,656$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.98 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 72c | 9,220$6,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,638.37 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 7,918$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,974.92 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 5c | 7,025$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.49 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.55 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked No | 29c | 6,666$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.72 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 28c | 5,801$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,176.67 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f3babacked Yes | 72c | 5,725$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 71c | 5,369$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,795 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 68c | 5,250$3,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,592.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,549.95 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 4,988$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.71 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 4,167$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.67 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed No | 30c | 3,622$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…6c14backed Yes | 77c | 3,252$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 72c | 3,194$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Yes | 71c | 2,898$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 69c | 2,750$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 27c | 2,457$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.91 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 27c | 2,192$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.26 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 71c | 1,942$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 71c | 1,700$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…5424backed No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 28c | 1,460$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.74 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…25dbbacked Yes | 72c | 1,438$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 1,290$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.08 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 71c | 1,219$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,170$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,132$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.21 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 2c | 1,122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 72c | 1,109$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.63 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 45c | 1,061$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.59 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,035$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…b945backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Yes | 72c | 975.05$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 960.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 28c | 892.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.95 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 70c | 863.52$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…c7c7backed Yes | 71c | 846.61$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 36c | 837.44$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.89 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…3b11backed Yes | 71c | 835.46$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 55c | 806$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.7 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 71c | 745.69$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.44 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 29c | 735$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Yes | 72c | 687.15$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 681.61$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.07 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 72c | 636.83$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.52 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 57c | 617.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Yes | 72c | 602.89$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 72c | 600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 28c | 596.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.83 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 30c | 568.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdc…9461backed Yes | 75c | 560.57$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3c…6607backed Yes | 72c | 556.9$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Yes | 72c | 537.42$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…425dbacked Yes | 50c | 504.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…9769backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 29c | 499.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.98 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 74c | 496.16$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 48c | 485.38$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 25c | 442.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1327…9237backed Yes | 70c | 431.53$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 70c | 430$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.7 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…3a25backed Yes | 72c | 423.67$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 72c | 419.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…4678backed Yes | 72c | 419.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 72c | 397.69$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…857ebacked Yes | 46c | 388.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Yes | 36c | 382.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…be22backed Yes | 71c | 373.61$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…6da7backed No | 30c | 369.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 72c | 355$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 71c | 351.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.61 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…188ebacked Yes | 72c | 348.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 25c | 345.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed Yes | 71c | 345.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 37c | 341.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…4617backed Yes | 72c | 334.95$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 72c | 321.37$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…b11bbacked Yes | 75c | 305.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 300.26$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.