Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6abee4ecc4e96085d312832960c9f55ddaea6336e64f6daba3fd63c358a67410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 17c | 3,234$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.04 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 19c | 3,014$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,937$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.54 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 17c | 2,308$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.37 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 19c | 2,177$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.04 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767d…2bc6backed Yes | 19c | 1,472$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…06f1backed No | 76c | 1,055$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 19c | 836.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 620.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 24c | 420.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Yes | 26c | 381.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 18c | 200.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Yes | 17c | 179.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…0dcbbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 17c | 120$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…a4afbacked Yes | 15c | 108.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 15c | 95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…a664backed Yes | 32c | 92.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…515fbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…41b1backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.