Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf33646f38adb2f123c159c022e9e24425e9d0a2e69a7a1f6d905490eec3bd176
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad26…b60ebacked Yes | 11c | 124,000$13,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,360 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 12c | 9,528$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,364.14 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 75c | 9,048$6,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 11c | 6,222$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 4c | 6,220$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 11c | 5,892$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.89 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Yes | 11c | 5,108$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,542.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Yes | 12c | 4,542$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 4,381$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.35 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,798$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.72 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 2c | 1,361$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,351$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.63 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 1,004$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 11c | 763.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.02 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…f493backed Yes | 12c | 753.83$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +248.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 74c | 700$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 73c | 699.36$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 10c | 585.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.21 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 26c | 566.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 40c | 504.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.89 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Yes | 34c | 418.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 28c | 418$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 12c | 413.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.48 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 71c | 367.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked No | 67c | 330$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…2b7bbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 10c | 299.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.95 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 267.35$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 71c | 240.56$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 24c | 159.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…25a5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2524…1261backed Yes | 12c | 145.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +169%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked No | 36c | 139.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 12c | 122.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…cddbbacked Yes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x352a…1a0ebacked Yes | 12c | 112.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…32f6backed Yes | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6d…f360backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…35b3backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd826…d6c0backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…bf9dbacked Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Yes | 17c | 86.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed No | 25c | 79.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 72c | 75.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…a21dbacked No | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…99f0backed Yes | 38c | 52.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…cc0dbacked No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed No | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed No | 75c | 37.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed No | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357a…5ccbbacked Yes | 70c | 33.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…b11bbacked Yes | 75c | 32.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Yes | 77c | 20.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…7889backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…1f15backed No | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-30?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-30?No won
- Will Ipswich vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.