NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec8b2b66b9463e5d186499a187245bc29c985d4daa072c7d13f89890c141a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $617,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $617,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Thunder | 61c | 276,922$169,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,991.15 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Lakers | 39c | 89,979$34,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,876.44 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 38c | 63,886$24,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,396.6 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Lakers | 16c | 61,112$9,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,662.09 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lakers | 40c | 40,583$16,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,432.39 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Lakers | 40c | 18,885$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.58 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lakers | 38c | 16,663$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389.6 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Lakers | 31c | 16,637$5,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,145.82 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 38c | 14,715$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.43 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lakers | 38c | 11,110$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.02 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Lakers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Thunder | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers | 47c | 8,897$4,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.07 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 33c | 7,945$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Lakers | 37c | 6,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Thunder | 69c | 6,000$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Thunder | 70c | 4,921$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.25 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Lakers | 30c | 3,919$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.69 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Lakers | 37c | 3,333$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Thunder | 75c | 3,036$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.51 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lakers | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.79 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…fcbabacked Lakers | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…971fbacked Lakers | 34c | 2,966$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…8416backed Thunder | 57c | 2,899$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Lakers | 37c | 2,886$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.15 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef3b…5cefbacked Thunder | 58c | 2,808$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Lakers | 30c | 2,330$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.9 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Lakers | 44c | 2,287$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.77 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Thunder | 63c | 2,159$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Lakers | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed Lakers | 36c | 2,040$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Lakers | 54c | 2,019$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Lakers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Lakers | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…5d69backed Thunder | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…a549backed Lakers | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…57a7backed Lakers | 13c | 1,926$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 39c | 1,912$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.43 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Thunder | 56c | 1,869$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.7 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers | 38c | 1,820$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.9 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…ab76backed Lakers | 38c | 1,813$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…7d62backed Thunder | 60c | 1,783$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lakers | 46c | 1,777$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.67 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 43c | 1,762$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.34 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Thunder | 54c | 1,714$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.71 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Thunder | 53c | 1,712$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.83 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,703$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.23 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Thunder | 51c | 1,670$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.11 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Thunder | 62c | 1,662$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.31 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Lakers | 50c | 1,592$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.2 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,563$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Thunder | 71c | 1,526$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.4 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lakers | 27c | 1,473$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Lakers | 48c | 1,417$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.68 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Lakers | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Thunder | 48c | 1,190$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.26 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 52c | 1,116$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.65 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Thunder | 66c | 1,057$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Lakers | 31c | 1,040$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Lakers | 41c | 1,038$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.98 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…5592backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Lakers | 24c | 995.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.29 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf784…f897backed Thunder | 75c | 985.07$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25e…b592backed Lakers | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Thunder | 52c | 946.48$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.78 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Thunder | 54c | 921.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.05 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Thunder | 51c | 870.59$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.59 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lakers | 8c | 847.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Thunder | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Thunder | 58c | 828.23$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.86 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529f…1cfabacked Lakers | 42c | 820.16$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.44 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Thunder | 61c | 799.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1469…d224backed Thunder | 52c | 787.71$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…4b57backed Lakers | 52c | 787.7$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 66c | 759.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.85 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Lakers | 44c | 682.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df2…97a5backed Lakers | 38c | 654.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…1c45backed Lakers | 36c | 654$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Lakers | 33c | 633.54$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.07 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 56c | 606$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85de…87e5backed Lakers | 28c | 602.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.11 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Lakers | 48c | 595.78$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.97 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Thunder | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…4a14backed Lakers | 54c | 586.95$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…d1d3backed Thunder | 52c | 586.61$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +58%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lakers | 32c | 582.01$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Lakers | 38c | 558.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Lakers | 30c | 548.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…ed0ebacked Lakers | 36c | 544.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…6535backed Thunder | 52c | 510.38$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9624…10c0backed Lakers | 52c | 510$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…14e8backed Thunder | 52c | 505.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…0076backed Lakers | 51c | 505.16$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Thunder | 49c | 500.02$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.01 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Lakers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.