NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ae586878ba120cc857a3c0c48eabeee9d376a33408137a6552bc63f973ed15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Blue Jackets, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 983.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets | 18c | 977.24$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Blue Jackets | 66c | 722.06$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 676.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.39 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 492.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Canucks | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Canucks | 34c | 302.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Canucks | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Blue Jackets | 7c | 249.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canucks | 69c | 214.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Blue Jackets | 71c | 211.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Canucks | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Canucks | 56c | 151.43$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Canucks | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jackets | 28c | 122.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a32…ae7bbacked Blue Jackets | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Canucks | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe787…65d4backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Canucks | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 77.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Canucks | 34c | 74.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Canucks | 67c | 68.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Canucks | 69c | 56.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Canucks | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Canucks | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e111backed Canucks | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…ebf6backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canucks | 66c | 37.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Canucks | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Canucks | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Canucks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…2750backed Canucks | 68c | 27.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…b31fbacked Canucks | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Canucks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Blue Jackets | 71c | 20.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Canucks | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…39c9backed Canucks | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed Blue Jackets | 64c | 17.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Canucks | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.