TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c67…59c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NFL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 61 out of 100; worst College Football at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST2576%19 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.6
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+25%+$18.75
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26.35
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$75
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$32.14
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$22.4
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$29.17
Pistons vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+37%+$27.74
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+28.2%+$21.15
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+31.6%+$23.68
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+27.3%+$13.64
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+25%+$5
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+48.7%+$31.9
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+47.1%+$23.56
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2024, EST1794.1%16 W · 1 L+4.0wins+0.23per pick71cpaid+33.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Panthersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$75
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+32%+$24.04
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+36.6%+$18.32
Falcons vs. Raidersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+37%+$18.49
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Saints vs. Giantsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+37%+$11.1
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Raiders vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+59.5%+$29.77
Browns vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.78
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Titans vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+53.8%+$10.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.63
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+25%+$12.5
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Ducks vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+37%+$7.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25%+$18.75
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+37%+$27.78
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Marshall vs. Louisianabacked Louisiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
UNLV vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Tulane vs. Armybacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+49.3%+$24.63
Georgia Tech vs. Georgiabacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$65.6
Nebraska vs. Iowabacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+81.8%+$9
All 10 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.