NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a7c245deba898768676f5fbfe3efe74887b2881c94b26ebd8a1fee3d5746c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Pelicans, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans | 17c | 7,335$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.8 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 6,274$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.04 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Pelicans | 21c | 5,228$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.73 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 22c | 5,071$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.78 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…79f7backed Pelicans | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…17e9backed Rockets | 79c | 3,947$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Pelicans | 1c | 3,887$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 3,325$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.05 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 18c | 3,103$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.73 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…d87ebacked Pelicans | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans | 16c | 2,770$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.82 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 22c | 2,678$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.31 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Pelicans | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pelicans | 20c | 2,000$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 1c | 1,879$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,566$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.64 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans | 20c | 1,351$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,230$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…1eaabacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,100$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Pelicans | 2c | 1,075$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Pelicans | 21c | 1,060$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Rockets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Rockets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans | 17c | 999.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…e290backed Pelicans | 22c | 991.05$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +209.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0c…e090backed Pelicans | 21c | 947.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rockets | 78c | 859.23$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Rockets | 80c | 753.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans | 17c | 727.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Pelicans | 20c | 668.86$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…1c1abacked Pelicans | 19c | 620$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…d499backed Pelicans | 18c | 610$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…0c15backed Pelicans | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans | 17c | 559.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Rockets | 79c | 555.28$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…9200backed Pelicans | 17c | 555$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pelicans | 18c | 536.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Pelicans | 22c | 525.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…a653backed Pelicans | 16c | 523$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.68 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6f…466dbacked Pelicans | 18c | 522$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…5fc6backed Pelicans | 18c | 520$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans | 17c | 519.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans | 18c | 510$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 504.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Rockets | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26f…7055backed Rockets | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…0fccbacked Pelicans | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Pelicans | 17c | 495$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Rockets | 79c | 475$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Rockets | 79c | 469.94$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…0fe3backed Pelicans | 19c | 457.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6bfcbacked Pelicans | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…69fbbacked Pelicans | 17c | 435.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…004fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 430$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…7326backed Pelicans | 18c | 420$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets | 80c | 402.5$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans | 20c | 399.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff5…bdf5backed Pelicans | 18c | 387.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 15c | 386.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…6b4abacked Pelicans | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…102abacked Pelicans | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 339.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Pelicans | 20c | 332$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 330.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 78c | 325.06$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 21c | 310$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Pelicans | 17c | 300.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…142fbacked Pelicans | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…7a38backed Pelicans | 8c | 281.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6a…3be2backed Pelicans | 17c | 266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Rockets | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957b…053fbacked Pelicans | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans | 17c | 244.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Pelicans | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Rockets | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Rockets | 78c | 198.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Pelicans | 21c | 192$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…3232backed Pelicans | 17c | 188$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pelicans | 6c | 171.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…e6a7backed Pelicans | 17c | 153.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Rockets | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Pelicans | 11c | 139.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Pelicans | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 19c | 127.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3046…e40ebacked Rockets | 80c | 125.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Rockets | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Rockets | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 14c | 113.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac62…023bbacked Rockets | 80c | 106.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…81cabacked Rockets | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…2bd3backed Pelicans | 15c | 96.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.