College Football · resolved market
Penn State vs. Boise State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d41e114745e89245ac824bf7efa30093872eae5c892400d7ce9e724c97ba352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Stateof Penn State, Boise State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Boise State | 11c | 21,561$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.84 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ff59backed Boise State | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Boise State | 22c | 15,235$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Boise State | 23c | 10,834$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.14 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc9…2b7ebacked Penn State | 78c | 10,750$8,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penn State | 79c | 8,199$6,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.47 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Boise State | 10c | 7,645$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Penn State | 79c | 7,564$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Boise State | 15c | 7,350$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.26 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Penn State | 77c | 7,141$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.52 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Boise State | 8c | 6,869$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.08 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Boise State | 17c | 6,480$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Boise State | 21c | 5,069$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.49 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Boise State | 20c | 3,781$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.73 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Boise State | 0c | 3,260$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ef…1b6ebacked Boise State | 22c | 3,083$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Boise State | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Boise State | 5c | 2,790$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Boise State | 2c | 2,571$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Boise State | 12c | 2,432$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…df9ebacked Boise State | 16c | 2,381$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Penn State | 78c | 2,200$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Boise State | 5c | 2,190$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…90a6backed Boise State | 19c | 2,115$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…9122backed Boise State | 22c | 2,090$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Boise State | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Boise State | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penn State | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…3cbebacked Penn State | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Boise State | 2c | 1,798$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…ad54backed Boise State | 21c | 1,706$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…b17bbacked Penn State | 79c | 1,706$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penn State | 78c | 1,699$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.72 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Penn State | 80c | 1,687$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.35 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Boise State | 22c | 1,646$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Boise State | 12c | 1,472$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Boise State | 22c | 1,420$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…62d2backed Boise State | 21c | 1,401$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Boise State | 14c | 1,376$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Penn State | 78c | 1,357$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…0af2backed Penn State | 80c | 1,288$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…00e7backed Boise State | 23c | 1,273$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Boise State | 20c | 1,106$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.09 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Penn State | 79c | 1,086$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf3…ce57backed Boise State | 21c | 1,086$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Boise State | 1c | 1,086$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Penn State | 80c | 1,065$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Boise State | 1c | 1,060$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Boise State | 16c | 1,058$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…887ebacked Boise State | 21c | 1,053$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…6022backed Penn State | 79c | 1,053$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Boise State | 16c | 1,012$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.77 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…1bc7backed Penn State | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Boise State | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Boise State | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Boise State | 21c | 949.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Boise State | 18c | 803.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Penn State | 79c | 728$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Boise State | 20c | 658.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed Boise State | 22c | 629.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…d16fbacked Boise State | 21c | 601.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Boise State | 17c | 596.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Boise State | 10c | 574.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…b30abacked Boise State | 20c | 556.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Boise State | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Boise State | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Boise State | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Boise State | 17c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Boise State | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Penn State | 79c | 468.75$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Penn State | 78c | 459.77$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Boise State | 22c | 454.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b3…868cbacked Boise State | 19c | 442.61$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Boise State | 18c | 440.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Boise State | 23c | 421.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Boise State | 14c | 398$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Boise State | 18c | 389.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Boise State | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Boise State | 21c | 350.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Boise State | 21c | 350$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Boise State | 22c | 339.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…adacbacked Boise State | 22c | 338$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…8f3dbacked Boise State | 17c | 335.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Penn State | 80c | 330$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Penn State | 80c | 310.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Penn State | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Penn State | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Boise State | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…61abbacked Boise State | 18c | 278.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…1f67backed Boise State | 11c | 266.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…0816backed Boise State | 14c | 255.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Boise State | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Boise State | 24c | 252.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…8ad8backed Penn State | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Boise State | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Boise State | 25c | 240.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Boise State | 15c | 239.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…1790backed Boise State | 27c | 238.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Boise State | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…36ddbacked Boise State | 22c | 229.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.