TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Devils vs. Ducks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Devils, Ducks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks75c4,341$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.6614949.7%74 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ducks27c2,479$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.3631849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Devils68c1,470$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.62650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks28c1,040$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3824546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils72c1,000$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.581,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Devils1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Devils55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Devils73c824.45$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.08425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks33c612.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8819438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb933…68f9backed Devils77c587.61$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Ducks28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks28c499.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks24c451.22$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Ducks79c407.42$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.011450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks38c295.4$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.789547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks28c284.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.761,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Devils72c283.33$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Devils73c274.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024347.7%116 W · 127 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Devils5c262$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks38c250$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Devils54c250$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1363141.9%13 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks54c207.56$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Devils29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5870%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Devils72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.973157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Devils49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-64.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7094backed Devils68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Ducks56c178.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6613562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Devils70c172.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209665.6%63 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Ducks45c136.36$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Ducks28c121.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1348654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Ducks46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.719852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c67…59c0backed Devils72c104.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Devils54c102.64$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4366951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Ducks29c98.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0250049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Devils69c96.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.775750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Ducks32c90.71$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6885464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Devils72c84.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1837254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac29…fa88backed Devils71c69.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Devils72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Devils72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Devils72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506959.4%41 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ducks31c63.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7762944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Ducks31c60$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.47660.5%46 W · 30 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks29c56.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd259…42a0backed Devils73c53.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.98966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a0…847fbacked Ducks30c51.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c49…b9f9backed Devils70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf983…1ae2backed Ducks31c48.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c2…fe86backed Devils72c48.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581070%7 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick74cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f9c…00edbacked Ducks31c45.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.16875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+67.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabfc…0643backed Ducks29c44.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2474…4957backed Devils72c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86168.9%42 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c9…57a5backed Ducks30c37.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Devils55c37.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.557350.7%37 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88c1…a7cbbacked Devils55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204571.1%32 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8167…3051backed Ducks28c35.98$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.912532%8 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Devils72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x711d…1219backed Devils68c34.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3240%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc399…9a54backed Devils69c33.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ff…c773backed Ducks31c33.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a20…7023backed Ducks32c33.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69c…9c70backed Devils71c33.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4963…da6bbacked Ducks31c33.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1599…1eadbacked Devils69c33.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc3…f5c4backed Devils69c32.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9727…f69ebacked Devils71c32.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b40…5ebebacked Devils71c31.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ac…8434backed Devils68c31.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e26…0fd5backed Devils71c31.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe8…d3f2backed Devils68c31.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcb…e010backed Devils71c30.02$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68e…8c90backed Devils71c29.44$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x980f…3fe7backed Devils69c28.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x756f…4436backed Devils71c28.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x484f…d384backed Devils71c28.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0882…b6bcbacked Devils71c28.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Devils72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ab…28d4backed Devils72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x759d…5f47backed Devils71c27.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde17…22c2backed Devils71c26.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf75…aa1fbacked Devils71c26.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6f…d902backed Devils71c25.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…996fbacked Devils71c25.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x472f…edabbacked Devils71c25.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Ducks72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…56b9backed Devils71c24.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…726cbacked Devils72c24.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x767a…0c01backed Devils68c24.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd253…b82abacked Devils69c23.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2e…6c5abacked Devils68c23.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…1e29backed Devils73c22.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.573056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5894…a28cbacked Devils71c22.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee0…4260backed Devils71c22.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a46…45c9backed Devils68c22.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…56bbbacked Devils67c21.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2018…5315backed Devils69c21.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ad2…0315backed Devils70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5283…1a3cbacked Devils70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab12…0f90backed Devils69c20.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.