NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b387bc2b35ebe2e55d422f62b0804834046e4fdf8bacde12e83e6e32e0007f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Sharks, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Sharks | 21c | 1,496$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Panthers | 79c | 604.1$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Sharks | 21c | 503.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 79c | 492.33$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Sharks | 20c | 317.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Panthers | 79c | 140.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…c556backed Sharks | 15c | 100.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Panthers | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…6b68backed Sharks | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Panthers | 77c | 98.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Sharks | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Panthers | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Panthers | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…0e93backed Panthers | 50c | 56.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Sharks | 24c | 50.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Panthers | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…4824backed Panthers | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Panthers | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Panthers | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…964fbacked Sharks | 50c | 41.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Panthers | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked Panthers | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Panthers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…65ecbacked Panthers | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c1…a7cbbacked Panthers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Panthers | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Panthers | 79c | 20.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…af54backed Panthers | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…d131backed Panthers | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Panthers | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Panthers | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…7d06backed Panthers | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.