College Football · resolved market
UNLV vs. Boise State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x596225694752725b1a5d9b4b600f4abc906fc79d07d9f46ae0b11659e4541ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boise Stateof UNLV, Boise State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked UNLV | 1c | 15,076$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed UNLV | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed UNLV | 37c | 4,379$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked UNLV | 3c | 4,181$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed UNLV | 13c | 2,576$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.94 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed UNLV | 1c | 2,509$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked UNLV | 26c | 2,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Boise State | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Boise State | 77c | 1,988$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed UNLV | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked UNLV | 24c | 1,381$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Boise State | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed UNLV | 36c | 991.57$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.97 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Boise State | 66c | 945.23$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UNLV | 33c | 932.85$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.55 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed UNLV | 35c | 850$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed UNLV | 3c | 813.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…ff74backed Boise State | 66c | 798.76$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Boise State | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe603…94b4backed UNLV | 2c | 764.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UNLV | 4c | 764$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed UNLV | 35c | 681.18$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Boise State | 77c | 664.56$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Boise State | 63c | 642.15$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Boise State | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Boise State | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Boise State | 64c | 554.69$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Boise State | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed UNLV | 6c | 476.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…375ebacked Boise State | 65c | 473.05$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Boise State | 64c | 399.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…61abbacked UNLV | 9c | 397.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UNLV | 8c | 342.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Boise State | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed UNLV | 38c | 275$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Boise State | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed UNLV | 38c | 249.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed UNLV | 38c | 210.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Boise State | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Boise State | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed UNLV | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Boise State | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed UNLV | 36c | 199.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938a…a941backed Boise State | 66c | 156.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Boise State | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e0b6backed Boise State | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…2922backed Boise State | 66c | 143.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed UNLV | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x233f…405ebacked Boise State | 66c | 122.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…a65ebacked Boise State | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked UNLV | 28c | 109.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Boise State | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Boise State | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Boise State | 64c | 99.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked UNLV | 35c | 98.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed UNLV | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…2c6bbacked UNLV | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…b40abacked Boise State | 64c | 94.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Boise State | 72c | 87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Boise State | 65c | 77.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Boise State | 64c | 77.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Boise State | 64c | 75.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Boise State | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…9d23backed Boise State | 66c | 72.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Boise State | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Boise State | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed UNLV | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked UNLV | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1f…ab5bbacked Boise State | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…b0a4backed UNLV | 37c | 45.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…7c72backed Boise State | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…26f5backed Boise State | 80c | 43.66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed UNLV | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…6232backed Boise State | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Boise State | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked UNLV | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked Boise State | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Boise State | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Boise State | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Boise State | 64c | 19.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Boise State | 64c | 19.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ca43backed Boise State | 65c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Boise State | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…14acbacked Boise State | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…34e4backed Boise State | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.