NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf91137a593657400455c5f77913f828194e9d5600d416f044c17afa8a391e2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Wizards, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $446,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Wizards | 15c | 54,492$8,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,376.89 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Wizards | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Wizards | 18c | 22,422$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.56 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Wizards | 21c | 19,059$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,001.84 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Wizards | 20c | 10,253$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.87 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 17c | 7,700$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.99 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 64c | 7,434$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.92 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.94 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 16c | 6,226$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.14 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff63…e32bbacked Wizards | 17c | 4,926$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 32c | 4,885$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 19c | 4,467$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.84 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wizards | 2c | 3,812$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 3c | 3,628$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Wizards | 18c | 3,207$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.18 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 19c | 3,140$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.53 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Wizards | 40c | 2,899$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.76 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed 76ers | 69c | 2,866$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.9 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…2509backed Wizards | 18c | 2,818$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 23c | 2,669$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Wizards | 18c | 2,599$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.89 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked 76ers | 71c | 2,271$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.19 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers | 77c | 2,234$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 39c | 2,181$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers | 71c | 2,021$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.78 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Wizards | 32c | 1,927$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.91 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 7c | 1,900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Wizards | 8c | 1,760$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed 76ers | 71c | 1,747$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.13 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Wizards | 18c | 1,745$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb101…abbabacked Wizards | 18c | 1,729$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Wizards | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…c19ebacked Wizards | 18c | 1,556$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Wizards | 17c | 1,456$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked 76ers | 45c | 1,441$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.11 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…6b68backed Wizards | 7c | 1,360$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards | 19c | 1,314$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Wizards | 18c | 1,300$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Wizards | 2c | 1,275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wizards | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…1873backed Wizards | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed 76ers | 44c | 1,139$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.64 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5066…82fdbacked Wizards | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Wizards | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3770backed Wizards | 18c | 1,042$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wizards | 20c | 972.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Wizards | 7c | 893.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…a6ecbacked Wizards | 17c | 893.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed 76ers | 78c | 892.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards | 17c | 699.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed 76ers | 79c | 661$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…a0b2backed Wizards | 17c | 616.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Wizards | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Wizards | 19c | 594.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Wizards | 18c | 539.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Wizards | 17c | 519.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Wizards | 19c | 516.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Wizards | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Wizards | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba0…88f5backed Wizards | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed 76ers | 52c | 414.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…b270backed Wizards | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 18c | 381.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Wizards | 14c | 376.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7e…977abacked Wizards | 17c | 375.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Wizards | 8c | 355.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Wizards | 19c | 352.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Wizards | 17c | 341.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 18c | 338$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Wizards | 56c | 333.92$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 76ers | 74c | 328.18$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Wizards | 17c | 299.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Wizards | 16c | 299.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Wizards | 19c | 293.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 45c | 280.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Wizards | 18c | 277.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Wizards | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…00f0backed Wizards | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked 76ers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Wizards | 19c | 263.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Wizards | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Wizards | 27c | 262.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Wizards | 27c | 260$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…6855backed Wizards | 19c | 247.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed 76ers | 79c | 240$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Wizards | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Wizards | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Wizards | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Wizards | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26d…cb95backed Wizards | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 76ers | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…fed6backed 76ers | 78c | 194.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…db01backed Wizards | 19c | 178.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Wizards | 19c | 158.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.