TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Raiders vs. Buccaneers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Raiders, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,578
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,578 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders26c33,197$8,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,693.2232438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Buccaneers74c16,668$12,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.715644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Raiders3c13,047$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.3917823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Raiders27c8,994$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.53943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Buccaneers73c6,208$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.3716545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders15c5,529$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4531848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raiders18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders19c4,512$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Buccaneers73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Raiders27c3,495$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.665848.3%28 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Buccaneers73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81010738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Raiders17c2,948$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1211139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Raiders2c2,711$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.488218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Buccaneers74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.77754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Buccaneers74c2,703$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.714763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders11c2,456$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5511821.2%25 W · 93 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Raiders27c2,398$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.3421251.9%110 W · 102 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Buccaneers73c2,381$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.8628556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd95…99f2backed Buccaneers74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52015722.3%35 W · 122 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Buccaneers73c2,000$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4914757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Buccaneers73c1,785$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9527339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raiders14c1,705$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9322638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Buccaneers75c1,334$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.972190.5%19 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+35.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Buccaneers73c1,066$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7516275.3%122 W · 40 L+17.3wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Buccaneers75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.0wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+44.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x22b8…3368backed Raiders6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602020%4 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-64.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3232…b62ebacked Buccaneers75c974.57$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Raiders26c949.63$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.97541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59c…115bbacked Buccaneers74c917$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.422972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Buccaneers73c741$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0719864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…d9a9backed Buccaneers73c684.11$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.711844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Raiders8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cf…8647backed Buccaneers73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Buccaneers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13517558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13538459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Buccaneers73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354669.6%32 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa34d…1de4backed Raiders6c483.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.371147.9%9 W · 105 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Buccaneers73c473.97$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.974178%32 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Buccaneers72c443.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3120736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec5…9869backed Raiders12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef6…eb68backed Raiders28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11f…ccbabacked Buccaneers75c352$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882572%18 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Buccaneers73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4713655.9%76 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5321…223cbacked Raiders28c339.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9550%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Buccaneers74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841675%12 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Buccaneers75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.338461.9%52 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Buccaneers72c332.06$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9844246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raiders25c328.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2214022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Buccaneers75c328$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8213260.6%80 W · 52 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Buccaneers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.977177.5%55 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Buccaneers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.976028.3%17 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110a…7cdbbacked Buccaneers74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Buccaneers74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2713453.7%72 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5f97backed Buccaneers75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c8…24dcbacked Buccaneers72c265.96$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4720557.6%118 W · 87 L+16.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75e9…3083backed Raiders27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Buccaneers73c255$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7910842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Buccaneers73c217.22$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.658762.1%54 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Buccaneers75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Raiders28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Buccaneers74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Buccaneers75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509268.5%63 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Buccaneers74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2525453.9%137 W · 117 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Buccaneers80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4012842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Buccaneers79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426634.8%23 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3af…bbd7backed Buccaneers77c193.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Buccaneers75c187.77$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7712760.6%77 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cd…c341backed Raiders28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Raiders28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508921.3%19 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f9…25ccbacked Buccaneers73c178.08$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.081850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Raiders26c177.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.213324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-57.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77a9…81fdbacked Raiders28c172.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.251735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ceb…ec9bbacked Buccaneers73c172.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.511471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+62.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd829…3fc4backed Buccaneers73c163.37$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.372588%22 W · 3 L+6.1wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+37.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Raiders10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa895…4935backed Buccaneers75c158.05$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.517562.7%47 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe324…7608backed Raiders26c157$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc9…7c59backed Buccaneers74c155.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.342491.7%22 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Buccaneers73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.59732%31 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Buccaneers74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec2…ab4abacked Buccaneers74c148.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12cb…cc16backed Raiders21c143.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…24d3backed Raiders26c141$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x873f…14efbacked Raiders27c139.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57229.1%2 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Raiders26c137$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6211738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Buccaneers73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…ec9bbacked Buccaneers73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cde…9956backed Buccaneers73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfb…fd27backed Buccaneers73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Buccaneers74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.148348.2%40 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x403d…7e3bbacked Buccaneers74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Buccaneers74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145275%39 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Buccaneers75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334372.1%31 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76fc…2270backed Buccaneers74c115.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.942373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4c1…301fbacked Raiders23c114.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…2da9backed Buccaneers73c112.23$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Raiders24c107.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.764420.5%9 W · 35 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7322…7780backed Raiders28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa54…3250backed Raiders27c104.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.