NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49574126072ac7bc2bf2f07ee9775e6567e6a64bc80d7eceefe9ece15e4fbd7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof 49ers, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $874,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $969,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $874,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 621 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 49ers | 14c | 115,877$15,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,688.49 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bills | 69c | 104,643$72,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,961.43 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked 49ers | 26c | 47,596$12,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,445.39 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…5d51backed Bills | 74c | 41,060$30,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,643.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 49ers | 26c | 28,733$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,383.34 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed 49ers | 34c | 28,189$9,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,532.05 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed 49ers | 8c | 27,809$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.82 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked 49ers | 9c | 26,594$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.04 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked 49ers | 26c | 25,895$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,792.14 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Bills | 74c | 22,428$16,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,797.72 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Bills | 70c | 21,106$14,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,378.04 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked 49ers | 25c | 20,778$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.13 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked 49ers | 4c | 20,566$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.5 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed 49ers | 26c | 13,527$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.9 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Bills | 72c | 13,479$9,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.49 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…11a8backed 49ers | 25c | 12,676$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed 49ers | 33c | 10,352$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.16 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 49ers | 26c | 10,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Bills | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Bills | 75c | 9,333$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed 49ers | 35c | 8,676$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.7 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 34c | 7,959$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.5 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked 49ers | 10c | 7,343$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.75 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…a26dbacked 49ers | 12c | 7,200$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…69f0backed Bills | 72c | 6,951$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 49ers | 27c | 6,833$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.8 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked 49ers | 25c | 6,572$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed 49ers | 25c | 6,555$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.75 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Bills | 72c | 6,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed 49ers | 25c | 5,852$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.89 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Bills | 72c | 5,569$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.3 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked 49ers | 12c | 5,510$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.32 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Bills | 80c | 5,282$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.36 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Bills | 74c | 5,006$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.62 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Bills | 76c | 5,001$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.35 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bills | 76c | 5,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Bills | 75c | 4,807$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.06 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 49ers | 26c | 4,546$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bills | 71c | 4,231$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.82 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed 49ers | 25c | 4,168$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.12 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Bills | 71c | 3,950$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.92 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed 49ers | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bills | 73c | 3,481$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.92 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed 49ers | 36c | 3,332$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.69 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bills | 76c | 3,300$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.06 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698e…8042backed 49ers | 27c | 3,118$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 23c | 3,085$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.59 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 49ers | 27c | 3,004$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.94 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed 49ers | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Bills | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked 49ers | 25c | 2,649$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.35 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…00f6backed Bills | 76c | 2,638$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.11 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Bills | 66c | 2,424$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.16 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 49ers | 27c | 2,389$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.6 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked 49ers | 4c | 2,339$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed 49ers | 31c | 2,234$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed 49ers | 26c | 2,199$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.74 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed 49ers | 32c | 2,174$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Bills | 75c | 2,152$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.17 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Bills | 73c | 2,129$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.77 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 49ers | 26c | 2,119$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.01 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Bills | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed 49ers | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed 49ers | 11c | 2,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.86 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bills | 63c | 1,905$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.76 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…4125backed 49ers | 4c | 1,850$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed 49ers | 25c | 1,847$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Bills | 74c | 1,780$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.81 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Bills | 73c | 1,757$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked 49ers | 29c | 1,755$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked 49ers | 36c | 1,701$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.4 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked 49ers | 26c | 1,696$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed 49ers | 29c | 1,588$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked 49ers | 29c | 1,569$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Bills | 73c | 1,568$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Bills | 73c | 1,542$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Bills | 68c | 1,525$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.64 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Bills | 75c | 1,502$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.44 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed 49ers | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Bills | 73c | 1,450$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Bills | 72c | 1,447$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…974dbacked 49ers | 29c | 1,401$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked 49ers | 29c | 1,352$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…e540backed Bills | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Bills | 75c | 1,331$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Bills | 73c | 1,277$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…4d31backed Bills | 77c | 1,272$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed 49ers | 26c | 1,264$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked 49ers | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked 49ers | 29c | 1,209$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.73 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…9f73backed Bills | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…3ae5backed 49ers | 26c | 1,075$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf863…82ccbacked 49ers | 6c | 1,074$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…75e2backed 49ers | 27c | 1,056$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Bills | 76c | 1,055$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.59 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…2df2backed 49ers | 19c | 1,053$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 75c | 1,000$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.