TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$389,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Knicks61c38,263$23,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,745.6611842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans30c31,689$9,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,422.2165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Knicks78c18,015$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,015.283748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Knicks65c14,018$9,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,844.158343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks65c13,916$8,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,920.7530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Knicks58c11,196$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,705.6713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans33c10,628$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,475.0461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans35c10,239$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.661,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x653c…ac3cbacked Pelicans25c10,001$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4746…9defbacked Knicks75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Pelicans35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans38c8,521$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.593,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Knicks77c7,981$6,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.616838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Pelicans10c5,355$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.0725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans24c4,333$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Pelicans24c4,000$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.36943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Knicks76c4,000$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.653284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Knicks76c3,275$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.934949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pelicans20c3,193$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.4396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Knicks77c2,919$2,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.276450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans24c2,861$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Pelicans2c2,732$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.324316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Pelicans25c2,640$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.664257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Pelicans46c2,345$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans26c2,050$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.871,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans24c1,541$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans1c1,495$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Pelicans40c1,333$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.1714941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Knicks76c1,318$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.961060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Knicks63c1,221$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.551,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Knicks65c1,206$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2525957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Pelicans31c1,206$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.2917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Knicks62c1,045$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0829661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pelicans40c1,004$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.2429043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Knicks76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Knicks40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Pelicans26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Knicks62c966.67$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.056768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans23c929.35$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Knicks63c870.37$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.374344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…9f7ebacked Knicks74c843.08$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.562450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Knicks68c842.39$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.515240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans42c806.57$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9915947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Knicks77c779.22$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.221361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans23c734.41$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.4511150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd263…e4eebacked Knicks80c721.8$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.84946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Knicks76c703.08$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans19c699.97$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Knicks76c606.78$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5636747.7%175 W · 192 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Knicks73c601.67$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.35468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Knicks76c600$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14610236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans22c588.02$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans44c587.91$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9739843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pelicans19c580.44$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7675347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Knicks78c578.6$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3912752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Pelicans26c576.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8290…7fa3backed Pelicans45c575.11$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Knicks67c551.32$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Knicks77c519.28$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.287363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Knicks78c502.79$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.615366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks76c500$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1211,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Pelicans21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11530440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Pelicans3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Knicks77c484.41$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.417236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Knicks77c438.27$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.483669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Pelicans23c429.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.219646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Knicks76c420$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.86752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Knicks61c419.27$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.776851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Knicks66c412.63$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2937831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Knicks76c407.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.892975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Knicks77c400$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9489353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans23c398.19$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae8…fa19backed Pelicans21c370$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…466dbacked Knicks79c369.98$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans24c369.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Knicks61c352$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans25c350.5$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6326933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Knicks75c345.33$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.331,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Pelicans45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.225651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Pelicans37c332.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Knicks76c330$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.21855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…dc6abacked Knicks52c325$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks77c304.75$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.441,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked Pelicans50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…6176backed Pelicans20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Pelicans35c285.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8817243%74 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Knicks75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6712563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Knicks75c265.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4516440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans32c264.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4202…9611backed Knicks76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.167762.3%48 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans23c254.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4985542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d85…483cbacked Knicks75c253.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Knicks77c252.37$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.892661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900b…d5c7backed Knicks78c251.73$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Knicks65c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1512033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Knicks77c222$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Knicks51c210$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.