NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1545abe49521bf3d476db0fe7a3c2227a54b36f904e27aca14f95759c39eb94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texansof Texans, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Texans | 66c | 40,618$26,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,993.75 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jaguars | 16c | 40,554$6,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,442.61 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Texans | 78c | 38,244$29,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,538.05 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Jaguars | 29c | 20,479$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 36c | 16,565$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,010.89 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 35c | 14,180$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.74 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jaguars | 17c | 13,792$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars | 32c | 11,410$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.95 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Jaguars | 37c | 7,884$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 26c | 7,603$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.86 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Texans | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Texans | 67c | 5,842$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Texans | 64c | 5,469$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.75 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Jaguars | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Texans | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Texans | 69c | 4,356$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.67 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Texans | 64c | 4,115$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.66 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 1c | 4,084$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Jaguars | 35c | 3,979$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.5 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Texans | 79c | 3,310$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.3 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars | 22c | 3,114$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.49 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jaguars | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Jaguars | 14c | 2,645$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Texans | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Jaguars | 19c | 2,493$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.92 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Texans | 66c | 2,135$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.48 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed Jaguars | 18c | 2,100$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Jaguars | 20c | 2,050$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Jaguars | 30c | 2,026$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Texans | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Jaguars | 32c | 1,954$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.28 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Jaguars | 10c | 1,932$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Texans | 65c | 1,894$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Jaguars | 32c | 1,827$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.53 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Texans | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Texans | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Jaguars | 34c | 1,436$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.34 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Texans | 73c | 1,292$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Texans | 72c | 1,245$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.68 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Texans | 62c | 1,200$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Jaguars | 33c | 1,180$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.33 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Jaguars | 37c | 1,147$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.35 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Texans | 64c | 1,020$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.7 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…758cbacked Jaguars | 36c | 1,015$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Texans | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texans | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed Jaguars | 37c | 999.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Texans | 67c | 995.82$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars | 17c | 984.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Texans | 78c | 955$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Jaguars | 22c | 946.51$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Texans | 63c | 894.83$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Jaguars | 36c | 877.78$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Jaguars | 3c | 870.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Texans | 65c | 797.4$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.09 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Texans | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars | 34c | 780.87$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.04 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Texans | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Jaguars | 26c | 747.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Jaguars | 36c | 707.54$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.29 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Texans | 79c | 668.04$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Texans | 64c | 556$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Texans | 62c | 553.44$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.31 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Texans | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Jaguars | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Texans | 64c | 459.13$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Jaguars | 37c | 444.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.43 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jaguars | 34c | 443.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Texans | 63c | 428.48$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…500fbacked Jaguars | 7c | 408.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jaguars | 20c | 392.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Texans | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Texans | 66c | 351.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Jaguars | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Texans | 63c | 345.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Jaguars | 15c | 329.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Texans | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Texans | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0025…6ca8backed Texans | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…4441backed Texans | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Texans | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Jaguars | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Jaguars | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Jaguars | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Texans | 74c | 272.53$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Texans | 64c | 270.17$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Jaguars | 31c | 266.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Jaguars | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d5…9ae8backed Texans | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…5c0dbacked Jaguars | 36c | 260$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texans | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Jaguars | 22c | 233.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed Jaguars | 9c | 231.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…42f8backed Texans | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Texans | 69c | 220$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Texans | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Texans | 72c | 202.74$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Jaguars | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.