TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blackhawksof Avalanche, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche2c12,700$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks29c5,481$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.4424546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche33c3,314$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.4631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Blackhawks32c3,019$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Blackhawks30c2,419$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,692.9835545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Avalanche68c2,221$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.465450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Avalanche69c2,068$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4307153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blackhawks31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9511145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks45c1,651$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.111,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Avalanche70c1,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05016554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Avalanche71c1,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Blackhawks77c1,295$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.387755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…a71cbacked Blackhawks31c1,240$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.61275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+100.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Blackhawks64c1,164$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.832147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Avalanche1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche69c999.98$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks30c999.83$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.8854349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa683…b03bbacked Avalanche69c968.45$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Blackhawks76c837.42$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.394553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Blackhawks31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.162638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks49c640.03$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.641,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Avalanche70c571.43$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Avalanche70c529.97$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6819150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blackhawks64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18072448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0964…d727backed Avalanche71c499.99$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Avalanche35c485$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.720540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blackhawks30c457.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.1841851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche68c439.69$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e3…d09fbacked Avalanche68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks30c399.95$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8906…b442backed Blackhawks32c395$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f64…0e0bbacked Avalanche69c386.92$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Avalanche30c369.98$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.998633.7%29 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks30c359.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9947249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Blackhawks29c344.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.824647.8%22 W · 24 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Avalanche70c335$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.55750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Avalanche30c330.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfad0…fbcbbacked Blackhawks30c296.7$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4849…0f64backed Avalanche69c274.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Avalanche54c272.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7430155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb28b…e410backed Avalanche46c243.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Avalanche29c240.15$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche29c238.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.533,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Blackhawks22c232.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.374839.6%19 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks31c231.12$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blackhawks29c229.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1233…9adabacked Blackhawks58c227.91$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.551080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Avalanche61c226.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1311951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Blackhawks31c214.12$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.91875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+104.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7bc0…8e5abacked Avalanche71c207.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d4…9dafbacked Blackhawks61c205$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x145b…7ca4backed Avalanche71c187.32$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Blackhawks22c174.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0918136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…e610backed Blackhawks31c172.19$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked Avalanche44c170.1$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Blackhawks68c147.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.116953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Avalanche70c145.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.19543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…54aebacked Avalanche71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Blackhawks56c138.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+51.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks48c132.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4291334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac9…c4b5backed Avalanche69c125$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0408…3049backed Blackhawks31c125$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+92.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Blackhawks66c110.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.583333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9c67…59c0backed Avalanche72c104.17$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1e…4267backed Avalanche71c103.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Blackhawks64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3613361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c46…3e5cbacked Avalanche70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Avalanche71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe695…7493backed Blackhawks60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Avalanche70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Blackhawks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7062944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Avalanche70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Avalanche69c99.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75b7…a6a8backed Avalanche70c92.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0f6…3364backed Avalanche70c92.57$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x515e…60aebacked Blackhawks31c90.82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Blackhawks30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Blackhawks30c90$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed Avalanche70c89.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b84…12febacked Avalanche69c86.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.773157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f8…bf0bbacked Avalanche71c83.22$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+47.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Avalanche56c80.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…649fbacked Blackhawks31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4121…ecb5backed Blackhawks31c80.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f7…2bcebacked Avalanche70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Avalanche70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Avalanche64c69.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4124945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Blackhawks30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc248…4c0abacked Blackhawks30c66.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…d0d5backed Avalanche69c64.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.745337.7%20 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7903…bd65backed Blackhawks31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.521369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9531…6309backed Avalanche69c62.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd993…2b6ebacked Avalanche68c58.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.