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NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Spurs, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,377
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,377 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Spurs23c14,495$3,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.8815056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Suns78c11,753$9,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.0219350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns73c8,820$6,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Spurs31c6,452$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1130…c545backed Spurs29c4,900$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Suns72c4,247$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.144766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns70c3,845$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.6337954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Spurs29c3,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Suns70c3,207$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.14348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Suns72c3,190$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.2229043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Spurs12c3,107$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.843132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Spurs13c3,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38023835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Spurs32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Spurs21c2,896$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Suns74c2,846$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.7959646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Spurs3c2,701$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.655911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs31c2,200$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6821,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Spurs28c2,105$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Spurs31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Spurs19c2,000$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.551729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Suns69c1,919$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.776167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ca…77eebacked Spurs28c1,787$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc299…dc5ebacked Suns74c1,738$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Spurs16c1,710$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.68229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd3…9d0abacked Suns78c1,521$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Spurs27c1,518$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.7885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs19c1,504$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2111146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs16c1,442$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.831,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Suns73c1,368$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.491,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed Spurs4c1,143$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.243619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs30c1,132$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs15c1,090$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Suns68c1,002$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6914438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b3…fd35backed Suns72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Suns80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2009035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7037…7ba4backed Spurs27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Spurs6c998.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9218316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Spurs29c941$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8934644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Suns70c935.37$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Spurs3c830.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.532165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs20c729.66$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f0…974dbacked Spurs29c689.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Spurs27c636.99$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.991650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Suns75c610$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.36768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6597…53b3backed Spurs27c599.98$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16d6…c556backed Spurs13c582.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.583145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…a7cfbacked Suns72c575$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Suns77c558.29$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.6111459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Spurs17c527.33$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Suns72c522.22$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.477263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Suns70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Spurs15c487.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.894456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Spurs23c474.92$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1075617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…d72bbacked Spurs27c459.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4884…9cf8backed Spurs31c454.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.764341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e17…779abacked Suns73c450$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.52979.3%23 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Spurs28c446.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12538132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Suns72c430.41$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.514656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa492…d264backed Suns72c425$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6691…3acebacked Suns73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…516cbacked Spurs26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Suns68c395.9$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6911662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs14c374.62$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.73,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x401b…3107backed Spurs27c368.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4715149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e49…2d2dbacked Spurs27c337.59$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.151050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Spurs30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Suns71c333$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5720245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4a…5514backed Spurs28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b34…7496backed Spurs28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Suns74c318$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0348137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Suns74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7917464.9%113 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Suns71c293$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1917244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x131d…8df5backed Spurs27c278.53$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.133053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Spurs15c270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.52924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x854b…a53bbacked Spurs28c270$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa945…8201backed Suns73c269.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Suns79c253.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2518666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbda7…fc55backed Spurs30c250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-76.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Spurs29c250$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3791…158fbacked Suns79c249.2$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs27c245.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.231,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Suns68c241.8$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs30c226.2$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8645135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Spurs28c224.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Spurs18c220.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39bd…1027backed Spurs27c216.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…5014backed Spurs11c211.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.11119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-76.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fd…8f4bbacked Spurs29c207.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Spurs32c206.31$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Suns71c204.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d99…854fbacked Suns71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.231560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Suns80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f95…3012backed Spurs30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607042.9%30 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…4f6dbacked Suns72c199.99$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.83372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc689…9279backed Spurs29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585151%26 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns74c182.74$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Spurs31c181.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.25820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ff…b701backed Spurs28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.