TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x873c…ac48backed Spurs0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Kings74c10,273$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,682.815056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Kings67c6,060$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.88561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb3…e20ebacked Kings63c5,790$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed Spurs37c5,789$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.871729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Spurs1c4,535$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.691,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Spurs7c4,181$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.3219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings68c3,727$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.911,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Spurs35c3,342$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.129148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Spurs33c3,324$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.9222832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings67c3,196$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.5659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Spurs31c3,099$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…c302backed Spurs1c3,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Kings65c2,603$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.8712563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs28c2,151$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Spurs33c2,132$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.856245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Spurs31c2,065$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1521649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs23c2,020$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.981,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Spurs39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.1419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa226…2bf9backed Kings50c1,970$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac71…0b9abacked Spurs50c1,950$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Kings63c1,889$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.7214438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings62c1,723$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0185347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Spurs32c1,700$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Spurs35c1,518$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.8611143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Kings61c1,498$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.2119845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdff1…e73cbacked Spurs8c1,479$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Spurs32c1,475$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.0223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c6…5a68backed Kings69c1,443$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.392365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs36c1,268$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.173,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs31c1,263$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Spurs6c1,251$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3710921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs6c1,105$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings63c1,041$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.8665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Spurs33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Kings68c834.34$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.992661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Kings63c799.99$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9919943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4400…65bbbacked Spurs32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Kings61c776.39$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.531478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89d0…2368backed Spurs35c771.73$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc223…1cbfbacked Spurs31c763.65$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.731618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Spurs32c762.4$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1647…2187backed Kings68c760.29$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Kings61c734.23$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.354443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Spurs48c709.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Kings68c701.73$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d52…94c4backed Kings59c669.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+72.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x82cf…defdbacked Spurs32c662.5$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5d…16f9backed Spurs2c623.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116944.9%31 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Spurs39c622.98$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9616242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Spurs25c619.38$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Kings69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1866768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Spurs34c600$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs29c586.45$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.161532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80b2…1e1cbacked Spurs34c529.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Spurs32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ca…77eebacked Kings68c489.71$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.71850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kings69c477$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8711662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Kings67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7622053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Kings69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7818666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a4…cb7ebacked Spurs33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5361…fac8backed Kings66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Kings67c370.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.587558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Kings62c321.11$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9745251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Spurs32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d05…ba37backed Kings67c309.04$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Spurs34c308.82$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Kings63c307.01$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Spurs33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9918044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9949849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e8…9c65backed Kings61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1174548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings40c299.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7746928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Spurs4c296$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.828324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Spurs30c287.74$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…4da9backed Kings70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3483…cdabbacked Kings71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc4…ee71backed Kings69c275.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.361145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Kings75c266.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.92857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b60…028bbacked Spurs34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b9…283bbacked Spurs34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Kings61c260.89$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7526933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Spurs29c243.76$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4311235.7%40 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Kings71c211.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.344456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f6…cf27backed Spurs34c208.82$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs37c204.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs37c202.66$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.011,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Spurs7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Kings61c200$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7923548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Kings61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc49…174ebacked Spurs6c191.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.24911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-69.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x493b…1811backed Kings66c181.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb67…dbdebacked Kings63c175$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c77…3b2ebacked Spurs34c174.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Kings68c166$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.121241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+60.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Spurs32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Spurs32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.