TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$324,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 324 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea0d…821cbacked Nuggets2c29,443$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.726642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets62c20,855$12,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,965.188561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers33c16,435$5,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,963.3765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers41c12,557$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,470.33,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Nuggets39c12,350$4,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,772.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Trail Blazers25c11,029$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,256.887024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets42c9,165$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,886.8261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Nuggets72c6,988$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.5115551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Nuggets39c6,526$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.532437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Trail Blazers24c5,556$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.8821649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers51c5,373$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.251,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers24c5,097$1,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.561,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9929858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b8…cc82backed Trail Blazers72c4,209$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers24c4,050$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.981,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Trail Blazers31c3,733$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.7349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Nuggets79c3,375$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6601478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x053f…2c01backed Nuggets79c3,313$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,616.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid+276.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers20c3,254$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.571,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers44c3,092$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.5419137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Nuggets55c3,066$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.7729661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Nuggets76c3,007$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16fd…5b47backed Nuggets68c2,930$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0014344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers21c2,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,974.9646928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Trail Blazers29c2,302$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.1425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Trail Blazers32c2,125$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.693534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Nuggets45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Nuggets76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52016838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Nuggets53c1,891$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.2827739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers23c1,868$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.6577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Nuggets71c1,698$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.8369149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers22c1,680$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.5346131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Nuggets16c1,548$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Nuggets77c1,544$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.886167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers21c1,377$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.4572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Nuggets76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets58c1,190$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.071,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed Nuggets77c1,088$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick64cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers42c1,064$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.7339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa412…5230backed Nuggets76c1,058$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.95825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Trail Blazers78c1,055$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.268033.8%27 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers20c1,055$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.4275347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets77c1,044$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Trail Blazers68c1,003$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9413950.4%70 W · 69 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers22c999.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Nuggets63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.992540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets3c962.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets72c935.47$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Trail Blazers23c930.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.833839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb5…b6b6backed Trail Blazers18c903.01$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.471216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1048…f83abacked Trail Blazers23c900$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6676…885fbacked Nuggets73c823.82$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4911…1eaabacked Trail Blazers23c780.01$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…a7efbacked Nuggets77c780$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.61540%6 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Trail Blazers76c769.27$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.742365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…804fbacked Nuggets52c767.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Nuggets68c735.85$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Nuggets76c724.79$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8412154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Nuggets77c649.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac62…023bbacked Nuggets66c647.54$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers29c643.64$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.991,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Nuggets66c600$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3935468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1c…e7f1backed Nuggets78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+109.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6972…12acbacked Trail Blazers22c600$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets13c597.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.911,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe58…4acbbacked Nuggets74c551.18$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.875453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets71c544.11$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3236057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9c…8107backed Nuggets77c507.9$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets77c500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets76c500$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65dc…0b11backed Trail Blazers38c491.84$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.163125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Trail Blazers22c484.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.252725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets65c477.45$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.381,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets63c468$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.637831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets79c450$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Trail Blazers22c448.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.3911150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Nuggets76c443.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6520245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Trail Blazers59c426$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.511926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets23c421.74$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9738132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Trail Blazers76c419.07$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.196666.7%44 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e5…e26cbacked Trail Blazers36c403$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2912651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets66c399.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9935165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Trail Blazers19c382.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8540448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers23c369.74$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…532abacked Nuggets41c345.72$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.191050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets15c344.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Trail Blazers31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5811428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Trail Blazers22c316.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9545251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Trail Blazers77c312.44$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6323835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Nuggets26c301.69$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.894928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Nuggets78c296.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4818666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Nuggets60c290.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.515536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6a…5726backed Nuggets73c279.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.094240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Nuggets35c270.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.811926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Nuggets77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007346.6%34 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Trail Blazers49c256.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.3814941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers24c255$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a2…9a47backed Nuggets8c253.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+65.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.