College Football · resolved market
Tulane vs. Army
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48bf75e27c1b1db4178cc8eca96787f2d371ce1a883b764cedbd3bd165f12c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Tulane, Army
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Tulane | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Army | 40c | 5,716$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.4 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Army | 39c | 3,863$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Army | 35c | 3,308$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tulane | 9c | 2,960$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.43 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tulane | 3c | 2,093$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Tulane | 65c | 1,846$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.89 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Tulane | 59c | 1,594$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Army | 34c | 1,309$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.13 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tulane | 41c | 1,241$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.61 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Tulane | 65c | 1,219$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.08 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Tulane | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Army | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Tulane | 4c | 999.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Tulane | 66c | 931.78$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…3ab2backed Tulane | 71c | 900$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Tulane | 65c | 799.96$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.97 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Tulane | 13c | 700.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…9869backed Tulane | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Army | 28c | 662.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.26 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…c958backed Army | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e0b6backed Tulane | 67c | 592.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Tulane | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Tulane | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tulane | 6c | 458.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Army | 55c | 395.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.34 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…fdbabacked Army | 34c | 361.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6a08backed Tulane | 66c | 355.56$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Tulane | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Army | 33c | 302.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Tulane | 52c | 283.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked Tulane | 64c | 233.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Army | 35c | 204.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Army | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Army | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Army | 33c | 198.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.88 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Army | 37c | 175$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Army | 38c | 156.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Tulane | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Tulane | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Army | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Army | 35c | 142.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Army | 61c | 136.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Tulane | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1b…cd6bbacked Tulane | 64c | 128$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Tulane | 65c | 111.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Tulane | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Tulane | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Tulane | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Army | 34c | 99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Tulane | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed Army | 37c | 72.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Tulane | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Tulane | 64c | 57.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…8911backed Army | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Army | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Tulane | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Tulane | 22c | 49.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Tulane | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Tulane | 63c | 33.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Tulane | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Tulane | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Tulane | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff3…8112backed Tulane | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a57…c233backed Tulane | 67c | 18.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…52dbbacked Tulane | 67c | 18.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Tulane | 65c | 18.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Tulane | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.