TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$242,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x049a…b22abacked Nets0c30,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55140%0 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Nets21c14,968$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,143.259952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Nets0c10,415$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.454010%4 W · 36 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons79c9,501$7,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.9315763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets27c7,000$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.8540627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c31…2ae1backed Pistons76c6,468$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f5…0e1abacked Nets28c5,320$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb101…abbabacked Pistons73c5,320$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pistons78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets22c4,843$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.411,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nets0c4,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons72c3,930$2,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.7765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e0…734dbacked Nets24c3,710$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Nets18c3,600$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6446634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f16…b561backed Pistons79c3,276$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Nets6c2,709$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3317141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Nets23c2,560$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.2230351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Pistons79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52511842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc32…78e9backed Nets28c2,081$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d6…f16dbacked Pistons73c2,081$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nets24c2,070$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.7750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Pistons75c2,031$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.719250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c2,010$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa683…b03bbacked Nets24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9996447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Nets23c1,420$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.722039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Pistons77c1,388$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.126167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nets19c1,374$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.136843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e4b…3c54backed Nets24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Pistons78c1,219$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2313456.7%76 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets6c1,150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.181,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Nets24c1,005$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.314654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Nets26c999.91$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9813341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Nets6c979.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3114941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Nets13c927.84$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7831125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Nets24c911.63$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6775347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons77c735.95$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nets25c735.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7629148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets27c720.65$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4588053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Nets14c689.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.513,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfff8…d95bbacked Nets24c661.81$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.83650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Nets25c660.82$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons73c632$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pistons73c631.65$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons79c500$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Pistons77c469.11$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.923658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets19c463.76$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4526235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets12c399.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9913611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nets23c395.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a07…4769backed Pistons77c390.35$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.784862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Pistons79c389.18$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5236423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7512759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Nets20c374.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…ae0cbacked Nets27c371.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013663.2%86 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets22c361.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4835046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf8…a703backed Nets28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014953.7%80 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets24c345.09$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nets13c341.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4425651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd566…3e2dbacked Nets14c321.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8dd…afcabacked Pistons76c303.78$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.913762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6626547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Nets15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb984…2a41backed Nets26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810525.7%27 W · 78 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb765…e17fbacked Pistons77c285.83$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.743762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Nets16c274.62$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2410131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292d…2c8dbacked Pistons74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.278946.1%41 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6116…6465backed Pistons76c264.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.482070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0206…82b5backed Pistons77c259.21$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.327564%48 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Pistons78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.416768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Pistons79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1612659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Pistons76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Nets9c228.39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5629738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc622…61a6backed Pistons76c224.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.912564%16 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Pistons80c220$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…ef29backed Nets28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012960.5%78 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f0…4795backed Pistons73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4812163.6%77 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Pistons73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4812165.3%79 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Pistons74c203.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.622060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3f…36e8backed Nets26c202.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.77333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Nets27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5313727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pistons70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82f1…89c4backed Pistons72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4905…42f3backed Nets25c199.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Nets25c199.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.33125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x168e…a9acbacked Pistons78c195.85$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.095162.7%32 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Nets40c193.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6117853.9%96 W · 82 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5234…9d07backed Pistons73c192.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.942875%21 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc697…04e3backed Pistons76c191.75$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.023964.1%25 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca01…8008backed Pistons76c188.41$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.222166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27fd…c47fbacked Nets27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Nets27c185.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5426…5a7bbacked Pistons70c180$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Pistons79c177.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2213959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pistons73c164$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…a82cbacked Pistons76c157.83$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.882259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed Nets24c156.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked Pistons77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.843863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26f7…bbd8backed Pistons76c144.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.762657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.