NFL · resolved market
Titans vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a4046f4eff4feea1fc0e506b2768081c0cbcba2dae53cba1a3c8781d3d0607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Titans, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Titans | 16c | 29,796$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.71 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…5177backed Titans | 1c | 16,141$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Commanders | 71c | 10,947$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Titans | 1c | 6,114$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Titans | 10c | 5,257$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.67 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…3173backed Commanders | 71c | 5,096$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 69c | 4,394$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.19 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…ed42backed Titans | 30c | 4,209$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.57 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Titans | 29c | 3,947$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.05 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 22c | 3,763$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.33 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Commanders | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.12 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Titans | 1c | 3,296$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…924ebacked Titans | 29c | 3,106$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Titans | 30c | 2,521$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.3 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…9748backed Commanders | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Commanders | 71c | 2,160$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.69 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Titans | 1c | 2,067$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…e3cebacked Titans | 29c | 2,066$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Titans | 30c | 2,037$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…1067backed Titans | 29c | 2,036$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Titans | 26c | 2,012$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.92 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Titans | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Commanders | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.98 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Titans | 2c | 1,960$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Commanders | 72c | 1,395$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…8883backed Titans | 10c | 1,333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Titans | 29c | 1,163$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Titans | 2c | 1,083$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Titans | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Titans | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…86c6backed Titans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…89d2backed Titans | 30c | 888$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Commanders | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Commanders | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Commanders | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 70c | 667$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.52 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…168bbacked Titans | 32c | 638.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Titans | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Commanders | 68c | 580.4$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Titans | 2c | 557.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Titans | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Commanders | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…2457backed Titans | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e07…93f1backed Commanders | 71c | 476$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Titans | 29c | 443.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Commanders | 72c | 419.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Commanders | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Commanders | 71c | 394.37$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Commanders | 71c | 357.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Commanders | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Commanders | 71c | 351.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b3c5backed Commanders | 70c | 341$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Titans | 30c | 339.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Titans | 30c | 330.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…b70abacked Titans | 31c | 330.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…1272backed Commanders | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Commanders | 70c | 313$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Titans | 7c | 303.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Commanders | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Titans | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Titans | 29c | 284.9$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a34cbacked Titans | 30c | 268$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Commanders | 70c | 232.88$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…c55ebacked Commanders | 70c | 215.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Commanders | 70c | 211.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…c9e5backed Titans | 30c | 211$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…c892backed Commanders | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0853backed Commanders | 70c | 204$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…7284backed Commanders | 70c | 200.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…c781backed Commanders | 70c | 200.73$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953b…f969backed Commanders | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…44e8backed Commanders | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…f6f6backed Commanders | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…7e8cbacked Titans | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d86…36adbacked Commanders | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Titans | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff8…90adbacked Commanders | 71c | 186.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders | 68c | 174.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Titans | 8c | 174.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe195…4b0ebacked Commanders | 70c | 171.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e98fbacked Titans | 13c | 166.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3f…db7fbacked Titans | 29c | 164.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Titans | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…979abacked Commanders | 74c | 155.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5ec5backed Commanders | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a1e3backed Commanders | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Titans | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e00…25acbacked Commanders | 71c | 144.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Commanders | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Commanders | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Commanders | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Commanders | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…0aebbacked Commanders | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…da2bbacked Commanders | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed Titans | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…867bbacked Commanders | 70c | 138.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…86a2backed Titans | 30c | 132.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…d377backed Titans | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…42abbacked Commanders | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…ed2abacked Titans | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.