NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa728d3c87cb6f5c5960d9e771a7ebee78bc5aa6f6831b1a64ba18cfe51b28f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 558 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nuggets | 0c | 50,546$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.78 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Nuggets | 22c | 35,508$7,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,963.5 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Nuggets | 23c | 26,907$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,190.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Celtics | 79c | 20,322$16,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.35 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Nuggets | 23c | 15,248$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 19c | 15,050$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.68 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 26c | 10,800$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.67 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 77c | 10,786$8,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Nuggets | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets | 24c | 10,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.91 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Nuggets | 20c | 9,826$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 69c | 9,674$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.43 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 16c | 9,199$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.67 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Celtics | 77c | 8,337$6,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 78c | 6,959$5,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.15 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 23c | 6,955$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.51 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Celtics | 80c | 6,841$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.17 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Nuggets | 21c | 6,536$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.53 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Nuggets | 22c | 6,454$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.3 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Celtics | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Celtics | 74c | 5,618$4,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.5 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Nuggets | 2c | 5,519$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 2c | 4,800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,038$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.59 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Nuggets | 21c | 3,890$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.8 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 71c | 3,815$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.73 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Celtics | 74c | 3,770$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Celtics | 74c | 3,746$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.96 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Celtics | 73c | 3,693$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.92 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 1c | 3,653$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Nuggets | 15c | 3,555$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.43 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 66c | 3,500$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.92 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 22c | 3,444$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.93 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 24c | 3,248$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.43 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Nuggets | 21c | 3,108$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.58 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 3,058$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.29 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Celtics | 80c | 3,040$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.99 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Nuggets | 22c | 3,000$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.52 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nuggets | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 78c | 2,572$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.34 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Nuggets | 26c | 2,537$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Nuggets | 7c | 2,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 64c | 2,482$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.91 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6459…c926backed Nuggets | 16c | 2,400$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Nuggets | 2c | 2,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Celtics | 80c | 2,154$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.85 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Nuggets | 6c | 2,100$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nuggets | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 21c | 2,074$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.77 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Celtics | 69c | 1,990$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 19c | 1,950$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.61 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 69c | 1,919$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.66 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Nuggets | 33c | 1,909$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.39 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets | 7c | 1,748$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,742$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.26 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Nuggets | 32c | 1,625$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 27c | 1,587$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.79 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 17c | 1,521$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 77c | 1,500$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Nuggets | 32c | 1,457$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 62c | 1,442$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.93 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,422$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.13 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Nuggets | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Nuggets | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Celtics | 78c | 1,274$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…5c16backed Nuggets | 21c | 1,268$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.58 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Celtics | 77c | 1,220$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.83 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…9525backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,198$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…dee9backed Celtics | 67c | 1,144$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nuggets | 23c | 1,120$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.73 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Nuggets | 33c | 1,027$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.81 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf27…929ebacked Nuggets | 17c | 1,025$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nuggets | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Celtics | 79c | 890.23$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nuggets | 2c | 873.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nuggets | 19c | 843.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 843$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 27c | 823$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Nuggets | 24c | 821.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Nuggets | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Nuggets | 22c | 797.44$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x769f…d2c2backed Celtics | 67c | 795.22$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Nuggets | 34c | 794.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Nuggets | 30c | 780.34$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…64a7backed Nuggets | 34c | 741.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nuggets | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Celtics | 66c | 699.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.94 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Celtics | 79c | 682.7$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Nuggets | 13c | 680.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Celtics | 79c | 642.09$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Celtics | 73c | 620.76$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Nuggets | 31c | 620$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Celtics | 63c | 617$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.