NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0363d3a3a07ece8576d94b82928a17dd85e522fa3802c93fb2ade2eb74e79d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Bears, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $967,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $954,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $967,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bears | 14c | 106,176$15,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,143.02 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bears | 17c | 103,585$18,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,029.22 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Bears | 25c | 100,322$25,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,068.32 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bears | 24c | 78,836$18,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,996.81 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 24c | 74,668$17,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,996.93 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bears | 25c | 67,004$16,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,474.98 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…0cedbacked Vikings | 76c | 66,090$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,089.76 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Bears | 6c | 45,948$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,559.67 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bears | 7c | 43,773$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Vikings | 76c | 40,000$30,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Vikings | 76c | 24,228$18,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.6 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Bears | 25c | 21,803$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400.73 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Vikings | 75c | 20,488$15,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Vikings | 76c | 15,690$11,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.3 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Vikings | 75c | 14,667$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Vikings | 76c | 14,434$10,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.28 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…93c8backed Bears | 26c | 13,077$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Vikings | 75c | 13,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Bears | 25c | 10,915$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bears | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Bears | 26c | 9,615$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Bears | 25c | 9,268$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bears | 8c | 9,032$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1b25backed Vikings | 76c | 8,580$6,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Bears | 24c | 8,000$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf001…4e7cbacked Vikings | 75c | 7,723$5,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Bears | 11c | 7,269$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bears | 24c | 6,953$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.65 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Vikings | 76c | 6,812$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.71 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b26…8640backed Vikings | 79c | 6,755$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.93 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Vikings | 76c | 6,637$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Vikings | 76c | 6,579$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Vikings | 74c | 6,500$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Vikings | 77c | 5,994$4,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.54 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bears | 25c | 5,673$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.22 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Vikings | 75c | 5,472$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.31 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Vikings | 74c | 5,370$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.84 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Vikings | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Vikings | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bears | 11c | 5,069$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.54 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Bears | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Vikings | 74c | 4,500$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Vikings | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Vikings | 76c | 3,936$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.73 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Bears | 24c | 3,900$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Vikings | 77c | 3,030$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.94 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Bears | 21c | 3,000$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.72 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Vikings | 76c | 2,892$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.14 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bears | 25c | 2,821$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.23 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Vikings | 76c | 2,773$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.84 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Bears | 7c | 2,763$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Vikings | 75c | 2,500$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Vikings | 76c | 2,150$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.04 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Vikings | 79c | 2,126$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Vikings | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Vikings | 78c | 1,985$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.88 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 25c | 1,849$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.37 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Bears | 17c | 1,739$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bears | 3c | 1,694$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…11bfbacked Vikings | 75c | 1,645$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…0bfdbacked Bears | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Vikings | 76c | 1,509$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Vikings | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…8b15backed Vikings | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Vikings | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.95 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Bears | 25c | 1,496$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Vikings | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Vikings | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Vikings | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…334abacked Vikings | 76c | 1,300$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Vikings | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Vikings | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Vikings | 76c | 1,259$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bears | 6c | 1,139$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…ab49backed Bears | 19c | 1,124$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Vikings | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Vikings | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Vikings | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Bears | 13c | 1,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vikings | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Bears | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Vikings | 76c | 893.42$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…ccbabacked Vikings | 76c | 850.41$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Vikings | 76c | 766.3$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.91 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bears | 25c | 760.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.01 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…81c7backed Bears | 19c | 746.81$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…fe58backed Vikings | 75c | 668.65$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Vikings | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Bears | 5c | 640.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ef…9508backed Bears | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb451…3a4cbacked Bears | 4c | 596.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Bears | 10c | 561$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Vikings | 76c | 551.8$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.43 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Vikings | 75c | 550.93$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.73 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Vikings | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Bears | 18c | 540.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Vikings | 74c | 534.61$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee0…358ebacked Bears | 24c | 505$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bears | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Vikings | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.