NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3158541edeeb795e34880acc5487d9236567e35dbc1d2fdca4a50575153d4055
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Blues, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3168…6734backed Blues | 5c | 9,526$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Oilers | 67c | 1,934$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.21 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Oilers | 71c | 1,145$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…4a1fbacked Blues | 29c | 1,142$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blues | 3c | 900.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oilers | 69c | 841.83$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 72c | 433.23$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked Blues | 31c | 411$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues | 28c | 362.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Blues | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 72c | 349.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Blues | 31c | 334.42$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Blues | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blues | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Blues | 5c | 288.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Blues | 26c | 246.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…3e5cbacked Oilers | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Oilers | 70c | 137.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Oilers | 72c | 129.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blues | 27c | 112.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oilers | 70c | 109.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Oilers | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blues | 29c | 99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Oilers | 73c | 96.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…301fbacked Blues | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Blues | 28c | 84.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 71c | 84.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…ec35backed Blues | 33c | 75.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 67c | 74.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blues | 15c | 67.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Blues | 31c | 64.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Blues | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Blues | 23c | 63.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…3139backed Blues | 55c | 51.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Oilers | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Blues | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blues | 33c | 41.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Oilers | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…7b74backed Oilers | 71c | 32.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Oilers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Oilers | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Oilers | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Oilers | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Oilers | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…cbdebacked Oilers | 71c | 23.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…44f8backed Oilers | 72c | 23.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…d131backed Oilers | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Oilers | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…5270backed Oilers | 72c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…0289backed Oilers | 71c | 18.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…ae60backed Oilers | 71c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked Oilers | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…bccdbacked Oilers | 71c | 14.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.