NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26969c675cacf0e202864e5d8e438ff4dcba2e5f1081f8a2fb7a70783e1a2075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Kraken, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadef…d0acbacked Devils | 75c | 3,863$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kraken | 25c | 3,773$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.57 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 27c | 1,665$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.42 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Devils | 51c | 1,003$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Kraken | 28c | 999.94$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Kraken | 29c | 973.48$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.31 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Kraken | 45c | 806.95$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…7840backed Devils | 72c | 697.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Devils | 73c | 504.91$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Devils | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…4da9backed Devils | 73c | 427.17$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Devils | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…2e65backed Devils | 71c | 316.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 7c | 304.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Kraken | 27c | 287$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Kraken | 29c | 172.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Devils | 71c | 158.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Kraken | 22c | 156.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Devils | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 29c | 110.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Devils | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…cb4dbacked Devils | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Devils | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kraken | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Devils | 69c | 98.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Kraken | 29c | 89.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 19c | 87.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…30cfbacked Devils | 74c | 82.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kraken | 26c | 78.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Devils | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d5d4backed Kraken | 19c | 71.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked Devils | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Kraken | 27c | 70.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…158dbacked Devils | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…5136backed Devils | 71c | 64.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Devils | 69c | 63.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Kraken | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Devils | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Devils | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kraken | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Kraken | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Kraken | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Kraken | 23c | 47.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Devils | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…aab2backed Devils | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…7addbacked Devils | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Devils | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…8781backed Devils | 65c | 36.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Devils | 72c | 32.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…72dfbacked Devils | 70c | 30.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed Devils | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bf…14cfbacked Devils | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Devils | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb894…0ffcbacked Devils | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Devils | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…59c0backed Devils | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3690backed Devils | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Devils | 71c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…7b2abacked Devils | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…fe86backed Devils | 70c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…3e33backed Devils | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Devils | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked Devils | 68c | 17.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.