TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Indiana vs. Notre Dame

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Notre Dameof Indiana, Notre Dame
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,938 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1388…339abacked Indiana22c14,929$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.698448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Indiana7c6,810$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.77414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Indiana27c4,583$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.793122.6%7 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Indiana3c4,353$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5124229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Notre Dame70c4,001$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.213444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Indiana28c3,465$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.34257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+53.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Notre Dame69c3,325$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Indiana8c2,949$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Indiana3c2,193$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Indiana3c2,174$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Indiana29c2,166$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.038347%39 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Indiana23c1,994$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.727335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Indiana30c1,804$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.27757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Notre Dame70c1,775$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.63764.9%24 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Notre Dame72c1,722$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfa…a0dabacked Notre Dame72c1,406$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487b…eccbbacked Notre Dame72c1,374$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.69560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Indiana29c1,336$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Notre Dame80c1,315$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Indiana31c1,252$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.7215252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc31…3624backed Notre Dame71c1,207$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Indiana30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Notre Dame68c1,190$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.074146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Indiana19c1,164$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked Notre Dame69c1,152$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Indiana16c1,146$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.582646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Notre Dame77c1,123$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.58988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+63.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Indiana28c1,046$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.944445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Indiana24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.982147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…136fbacked Indiana30c1,020$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.982133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…fa85backed Indiana31c1,000$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc322…f47abacked Notre Dame70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Indiana31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Notre Dame72c928.91$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.093941%16 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Notre Dame71c907.84$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.274242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12cd…ab49backed Indiana12c889.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Indiana29c784.36$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4615751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Notre Dame69c773.54$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.87143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Notre Dame70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Notre Dame70c565.51$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59d…fe58backed Notre Dame72c565.4$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.311485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Indiana7c553.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.19425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Notre Dame70c550.67$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Notre Dame80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Notre Dame70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.511839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Notre Dame69c483.8$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.453542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Notre Dame71c459.01$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.319051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Notre Dame71c444$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b18…5facbacked Indiana5c438.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Notre Dame79c402.31$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.91566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd542…08abbacked Indiana10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Indiana31c399.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd35…113ebacked Notre Dame70c361.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Notre Dame71c360$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Notre Dame71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Notre Dame72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee2d…ba67backed Indiana29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…a30cbacked Indiana31c342.61$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.212454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4254…e52fbacked Notre Dame72c337.69$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.551478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Indiana18c336.24$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.571758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5228…93eebacked Notre Dame73c323.39$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.327100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Indiana31c319.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Notre Dame70c318.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.924055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e26…b14abacked Indiana32c309.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Notre Dame71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8818858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Indiana29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Notre Dame70c297$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.293461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x252e…c4c1backed Notre Dame70c280$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93d6…e7d9backed Indiana30c280$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Notre Dame72c279.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.151172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb481…bb2cbacked Notre Dame69c278$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Notre Dame71c277.96$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.618078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a57…c233backed Indiana31c261.29$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Notre Dame72c245.46$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.732524%6 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Notre Dame69c236.67$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.24341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa728…5a45backed Indiana22c231.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bb…7021backed Notre Dame74c231.68$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f1…d83fbacked Notre Dame70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Notre Dame70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.294450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Notre Dame71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2756844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Notre Dame80c200.4$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9411070%77 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Notre Dame70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Indiana10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b1…0f2cbacked Indiana10c185.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffde…e531backed Indiana12c180$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Indiana29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec2…b36cbacked Indiana29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d33…5f25backed Indiana29c165.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Notre Dame71c153.54$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.857245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Notre Dame71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd956…ea37backed Notre Dame75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Notre Dame71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb386…4941backed Notre Dame71c147.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.371838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c5…4fa3backed Notre Dame70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb5…f8d5backed Notre Dame70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Notre Dame70c142.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.251580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Notre Dame76c142.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.79988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Indiana30c141.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.93166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-88.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x34ec…cbe3backed Notre Dame71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1382…794abacked Notre Dame72c140.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.