TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee2d…ba67

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$67.23
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$22.23
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.92
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$73.82
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$39.83
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.84
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$28.46
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 203.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$20.69
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.59
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$40.31
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$40.94
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$46.63
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.07
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.36
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.04
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$51.21
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Payton Tolle: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$30.94
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$66.43
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Bills vs. Ramsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+138.1%+$138.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$20.59
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+132.6%+$132.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$13.83
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+506.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+506.1%+$465.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+63.9%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.