Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a6a8fc862bc8d2a14b31580a732cb44f8e13ac55a6ac70f902fd5b0dbd004e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 42c | 4,652$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.59 | 68 | 7.4%5 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 1,325$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.14 | 233 | 19.3%45 W · 188 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 58c | 1,044$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 57c | 987.36$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 57c | 796.48$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 65c | 747.73$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.52 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 58c | 707$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 55c | 655.12$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 42c | 620.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 268 | 39.9%107 W · 161 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Yes | 28c | 571.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 58c | 426.9$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 58c | 400.97$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 58c | 388.89$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 22c | 349.8$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 44c | 338.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…15a9backed Yes | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 58c | 214.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 56c | 210.28$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.13 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 58c | 192.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5a6ebacked Yes | 26c | 180.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 55c | 170.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515b…2d91backed Yes | 70c | 140.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 58c | 123.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Yes | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…ad43backed Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f5…6905backed Yes | 65c | 107.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…1273backed Yes | 45c | 107.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 61c | 89.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 67c | 83.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 67c | 73.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…dd6dbacked Yes | 47c | 72.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed No | 58c | 70.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…d60bbacked No | 56c | 70.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 59.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…930bbacked Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 33c | 52.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Yes | 79c | 50.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b0…dfbdbacked Yes | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd0…dc93backed Yes | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 45c | 45.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…35d1backed Yes | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Yes | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e5…b40bbacked Yes | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…fe54backed Yes | 58c | 42.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed No | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 41c | 38.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…34cabacked No | 55c | 37.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…466ebacked No | 58c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes | 62c | 25.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c8…66aabacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…d302backed No | 54c | 24.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Yes | 58c | 24.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed No | 60c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Yes | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…4c87backed Yes | 50c | 23.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…4fc0backed Yes | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 69c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?this page
- Will Ben Griffin finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Brian Campbell finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Cameron Young finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?Yes won
- Will Chris Gotterup finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Gary Woodland finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Hao-Tong Li finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Johnny Keefer finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Jon Rahm finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?Yes won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Max Homa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?Yes won
- Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?Yes won
- Will Sam Burns finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Sepp Straka finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?Yes won
- Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.