TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Justin Rose finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,527 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe542…0a37backed No63c770.38$488 inLost-$488.086142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No26c560$147 inLost-$1475565.5%36 W · 19 L+10.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+123.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No52c523.73$271 inLost-$270.7422546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No54c466.27$250 inLost-$250.2526839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…15a9backed Yes16c207.73$33 inWon+$174.49633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes46c200.63$93 inWon+$108.1225449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes50c194$97 inWon+$97580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed No73c142.45$104 inLost-$104.075848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes15c100$15 inWon+$856214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…48f5backed Yes20c99.96$20 inWon+$79.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes51c90.36$46 inWon+$44.4110850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x515b…2d91backed Yes50c57.75$29 inWon+$28.641533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e5…6607backed Yes51c57.27$29 inWon+$28.161241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Yes48c50.95$24 inWon+$26.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes37c47.03$17 inWon+$29.635516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No63c35.84$23 inLost-$22.586958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21b…9b93backed Yes53c27.5$15 inWon+$12.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Yes50c21.34$11 inWon+$10.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2967…bd09backed No53c19$10 inLost-$10.07437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.