Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcdfaaaa4e977befe06a8728263c8a3e07678119a8649109e91e5e50fc7fa72

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,806 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	75c	4,247$3,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.49	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes	25c	3,820$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0813…d302backed No	73c	599.8$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	76c	368.25$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.48	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…15a9backed Yes	26c	367.94$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.56	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	7c	262.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	254	49.2%125 W · 129 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Yes	25c	191$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+101%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	72c	121.65$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.15	108	50%54 W · 54 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes	10c	112.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.26	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x920c…09d1backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55ff…947dbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes	26c	91.78$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e64…35d1backed Yes	26c	73.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a9…4314backed Yes	27c	71.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…614dbacked Yes	31c	60.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	39cpaid	+73.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	25c	49.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	30c	48.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-56%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes	34c	46.05$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	77c	39.09$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.13	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49db…e232backed Yes	38c	28.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…ecf3backed No	66c	19.24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	72c	17.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	65c	17.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event