TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ef1…614d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+89.8%+$14.63
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$12.05
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.1
Spread: Heat (-18.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.74
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$20.2
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.84
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.81
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.92
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.29
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+102.3%+$18.41
Pistons vs. Nets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.99
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.41
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.54
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+94.4%+$15.16
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.44
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.51
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.26
Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+119%+$14.21
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$6.35
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.02
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.18
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+80%+$8.74
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.54
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.24
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.5%+$22.47
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+93.9%+$39.9
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$43.22
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+48.3%+$6.31
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.59
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+118.7%+$18
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.3
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$14.31
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$4.3
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$16.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.