TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$845,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,490 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons50c536,160$267,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267,471.8987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets50c200,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Nets50c191,658$95,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,676.4326253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Nets52c132,600$68,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,147.91,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets51c110,000$55,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,40043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons48c56,650$27,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,291.1760351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons51c24,644$12,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,517.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons48c19,053$9,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,213.521,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Nets49c12,817$6,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,487.936359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Pistons48c11,279$5,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,463.3226648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nets50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Pistons48c8,333$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,03834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nets52c8,270$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.5421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Nets52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8404459.1%26 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets52c7,377$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.051,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Pistons48c6,467$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Pistons48c5,493$2,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Nets52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets51c4,882$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,390.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets50c4,693$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.424,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons50c4,001$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c86…d939backed Nets47c3,830$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.795655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Pistons48c3,823$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8359952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons50c3,819$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Nets50c3,750$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87513563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Nets50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.514753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons48c3,324$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Pistons49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons49c2,916$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.812,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets56c2,913$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Nets48c2,383$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.2870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Nets52c2,002$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.9748054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Nets52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Pistons47c1,713$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.5626034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Nets54c1,700$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7871,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nets68c1,634$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.141,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pistons46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6951,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets50c1,454$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.253,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Nets47c1,422$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.6619645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets50c1,380$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons48c1,188$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Nets53c1,178$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.6641553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Nets47c1,041$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.7317050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Nets50c1,004$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Nets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Pistons49c999.93$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9723938.1%91 W · 148 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets68c940.9$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets49c833.88$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Pistons54c833.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45026048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nets54c817.69$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets51c803.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.9867252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Nets52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.232828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Pistons48c762.35$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3237842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons48c756.88$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.9541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Nets52c736.14$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3824946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons49c714$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.861,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets64c683.68$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.221,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Nets51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29449345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Pistons53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3188949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons53c599.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Nets52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9232347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pistons44c569.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Pistons48c565.22$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6230453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Nets64c538.18$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Pistons50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Nets51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24520650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Pistons48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.997454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Nets51c425.1$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.111855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Nets52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Pistons50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Pistons49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1966538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Pistons53c399.77$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Nets51c397.01$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0118055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Nets65c395.53$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4418743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets72c394.24$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked Nets47c344.91$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Nets52c336$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2821045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons48c333.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets47c331.66$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.633,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Nets51c317.94$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.579455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Pistons54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16261747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe63d…0545backed Nets52c289.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.414560%27 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Nets51c287$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5753945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…648fbacked Pistons55c269.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nets48c263.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Nets51c263.61$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4514046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Nets50c263.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.615253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Pistons49c261.76$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Nets49c252.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3715453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Nets50c236.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3510656.6%60 W · 46 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Nets49c234.42$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4213751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Nets49c233.03$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0314455.6%80 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Pistons49c232.71$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4414053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Pistons48c230.78$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3131354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Nets51c228.57$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1147852.9%253 W · 225 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Nets52c223.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.773964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.