NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc89d431cdb6d1f1abb91423ebb6e32406591c868a7e135430be0ba175a5c4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Pistons, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,308 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 42c | 4,458$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Nets | 59c | 3,305$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.9 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Nets | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Nets | 59c | 3,051$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.38 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 60c | 1,847$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons | 48c | 1,822$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.22 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Nets | 44c | 1,317$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.47 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 55c | 837.4$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nets | 59c | 617.39$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.13 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 58c | 499.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons | 41c | 477.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Pistons | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nets | 40c | 313.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 65c | 294.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nets | 46c | 286.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.96 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons | 54c | 260.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Pistons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Pistons | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 60c | 236.22$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.49 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Pistons | 58c | 187.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Pistons | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets | 60c | 166.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 58c | 130.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Pistons | 45c | 110.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Nets | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pistons | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Pistons | 42c | 88.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Pistons | 41c | 87.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaec…968cbacked Nets | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Nets | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…187fbacked Pistons | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Nets | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pistons | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Nets | 50c | 61.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 178 | 44.4%79 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e27…acccbacked Nets | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Nets | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Nets | 42c | 48.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Pistons | 41c | 46.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 41c | 46.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Pistons | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Pistons | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nets | 42c | 32.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Pistons | 48c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Nets | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…f7dabacked Nets | 61c | 28.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 54c | 28.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Pistons | 46c | 26.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Pistons | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…2f6abacked Pistons | 51c | 22.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Pistons | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Nets | 60c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Nets vs. PistonsNets won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Nets won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.