TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,257 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under51c117,103$59,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,146.4243542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c71,578$36,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,223.191,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c59,166$28,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,762.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,70014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c17,181$8,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,414.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Over50c16,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.95945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c12,489$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,190.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e6…0715backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…924abacked Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c8,136$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.122,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c6,710$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.8951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Under51c5,942$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.4529351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c5,839$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,860.022,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under53c5,297$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under50c4,056$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.9429055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.5838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.826648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c3,000$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4954,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over50c2,523$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.332150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over49c2,392$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.8141649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c2,194$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.712,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c2,026$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3077…d15dbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,933$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.812,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over49c1,895$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.8226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c1,746$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c1,699$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.6265750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…6543backed Under45c1,638$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,600$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.063,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c1,562$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86bb…54ebbacked Over55c1,441$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd222…6441backed Under45c1,439$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.451844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,410$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c1,387$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60591050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c1,016$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.6854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c781.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.113,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over50c660.3$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under53c402.41$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c402$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c400$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over57c399.77$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.93,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb227…8809backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611157.7%64 W · 47 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c388.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c42…feefbacked Under45c361$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.551643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fbb…45acbacked Over56c355.57$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c347.44$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.743,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c279.11$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.585,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…08ffbacked Over55c278.69$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under79c267.28$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.196872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over45c261.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4253149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c249.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under51c245.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over47c225.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.841,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c210.08$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under49c204.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1329345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430224.8%75 W · 227 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+43.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over46c199.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over50c199.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.639943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c195.14$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c190$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.11,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687841%32 W · 46 L-9.0wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99fa…97a9backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over34c176.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.551,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under53c171.83$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c153.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.61,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c131.28$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9591846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c124.1$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.071,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over50c107.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over52c104.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1617250.6%87 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c104.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.162,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over40c103.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.751,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under50c102.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7320847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c101.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c8a…7764backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over51c98.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1597049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over53c94.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Under50c93.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.152326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2c…17d2backed Over45c88.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.66633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d3…25f8backed Over50c86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over51c84.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3311343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.210349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over33c71.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8765630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.