TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Netsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Pistons54c5,000$2,700 inLost-$2,70035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Nets46c4,690$2,157 inWon+$2,532.421,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets46c1,468$676 inWon+$791.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons54c933.39$500 inLost-$50042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets46c640.22$294 inWon+$345.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pistons54c557.41$300 inLost-$3001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets47c442.13$208 inWon+$234.122,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Pistons54c400$216 inLost-$21666645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons54c285.73$154 inLost-$154.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets46c175.96$81 inWon+$95.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nets46c159.47$73 inWon+$86.151,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pistons53c150.94$80 inLost-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Pistons54c129.63$70 inLost-$7021743.8%95 W · 122 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pistons54c110$59 inLost-$59.431947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Nets48c107.59$51 inWon+$56.1745452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pistons54c104.72$57 inLost-$56.5561957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Nets47c100$47 inWon+$5322453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Pistons50c100$50 inLost-$5013738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets47c94.19$45 inWon+$49.543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaec…968cbacked Pistons54c92.59$50 inLost-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Pistons63c70$44 inLost-$44.138464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons54c64.08$35 inLost-$34.61,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets48c62$30 inWon+$32.2438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nets47c60$28 inWon+$31.826034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e97…7680backed Pistons53c53.78$29 inLost-$28.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Nets46c52$24 inWon+$28.0853839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Nets35c50$18 inWon+$32.519166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Pistons54c40$22 inLost-$21.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nets47c38.05$18 inWon+$20.31,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadad…5857backed Pistons54c37.04$20 inLost-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets42c26.81$11 inWon+$15.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nets50c24.55$12 inWon+$12.281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Pistons50c24.2$12 inLost-$12.191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Pistons55c23.09$13 inLost-$12.737344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Nets48c22.08$11 inWon+$11.4825651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Pistons54c20$11 inLost-$10.844243.7%193 W · 249 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.