TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$869,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,928 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under54c46,189$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,188.8936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Under53c33,943$17,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,953.0447848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under53c15,072$7,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,104.743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c13,150$6,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,101.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c11,957$6,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,275.772,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcab6…d7f3backed Under48c10,475$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb47…4492backed Over52c9,823$5,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,107.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed20…ba3abacked Under48c9,791$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,091.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4957…94a7backed Over52c9,623$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf205…2568backed Over52c9,616$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Over52c9,541$4,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,961.323046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf137…0a2cbacked Over52c9,508$4,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdb…4035backed Over52c9,416$4,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee6…8f87backed Over52c9,393$4,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930f…e9e2backed Over52c9,385$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1577…9461backed Over52c9,293$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4123…3cfdbacked Over52c9,285$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fdb…fc1dbacked Over52c9,269$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,819.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ab…a3a7backed Over52c9,096$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,729.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…688cbacked Over52c9,066$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…02e3backed Over52c9,046$4,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,703.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa8…e4febacked Over52c8,973$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,665.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x950e…72a2backed Over52c8,943$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3009…563dbacked Over52c8,831$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over47c8,830$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15021143.1%91 W · 120 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50b9…3bb3backed Over52c8,804$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…8365backed Under48c8,762$4,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,556.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6a…a5cdbacked Over52c8,708$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,528.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f62…21abbacked Over52c8,681$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac12…f564backed Under48c8,675$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,511250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9122…45c3backed Over52c8,631$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d45…13fabacked Over52c8,569$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2321…9d57backed Over52c8,562$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…380cbacked Over52c8,550$4,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2305…8908backed Under48c8,466$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,402.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cad…cfb9backed Over52c8,371$4,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,352.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81f…511abacked Over52c8,319$4,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1744…782abacked Over52c8,297$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.44333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8de…1452backed Over52c8,254$4,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x487b…39d4backed Over52c8,246$4,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,287.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5236…59a0backed Over52c8,227$4,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,278.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3031…bd13backed Over52c8,181$4,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae7…b4ccbacked Over52c8,169$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,247.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a6…9d94backed Over52c8,143$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,234.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x625b…201bbacked Under48c8,066$3,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,194.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c80…f299backed Over52c8,043$4,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,182.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over50c8,004$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6749…005cbacked Over52c7,969$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6459…58b2backed Over52c7,858$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,086.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72e9…67b6backed Over52c7,754$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f03…9537backed Over52c7,739$4,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf71…1a8dbacked Under48c7,434$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd5…f2eabacked Over47c7,364$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6f…85d2backed Over52c7,354$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d2…cfc3backed Over52c7,323$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cd…a494backed Over52c7,157$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x668b…4d08backed Over52c7,139$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x393a…c1e1backed Under48c6,675$3,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8548…b836backed Over52c6,408$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c6,322$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c6,161$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.571,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under57c5,951$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.2756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over47c5,286$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797e…b07bbacked Under48c5,054$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over46c4,925$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.5817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c4,867$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…5596backed Over52c4,750$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,47010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafb…8ed2backed Over52c4,743$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa368…d116backed Over47c4,647$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.692839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8332…c218backed Over52c4,631$2,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348a…f2e5backed Over52c4,627$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1f…2c16backed Over52c4,548$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eaf…f50fbacked Over52c4,427$2,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,302.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b0…fbaabacked Over52c4,423$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6c…bf75backed Over52c4,387$2,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa0…bd46backed Over52c4,379$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26c…3ac8backed Over52c4,341$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd962…f341backed Under48c4,331$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d9…0469backed Over52c4,204$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1c…1f68backed Over52c4,148$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x403e…63febacked Over52c4,146$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7e…a63fbacked Over52c4,064$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653f…9f0cbacked Over52c4,063$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,112.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…ecfdbacked Over52c4,008$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb4…47c2backed Over50c3,995$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-77.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68e0…a503backed Over52c3,930$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over52c3,873$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over47c3,682$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.5437747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c3,495$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.234,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61c…aaaebacked Over52c3,454$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf075…53f4backed Under48c3,286$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.72540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ffb…3d68backed Under48c2,694$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3690…6473backed Under48c2,686$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…8f88backed Under48c2,685$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…f3f0backed Under48c2,680$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x358f…f18bbacked Under48c2,679$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc32…742cbacked Under48c2,676$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.