TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,915 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Under62c16,196$9,990 inLost-$9,990.2951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over41c8,318$3,377 inWon+$4,941.6556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c4,626$2,230 inWon+$2,395.692,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over31c3,645$1,125 inWon+$2,520.571,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under49c2,825$1,384 inLost-$1,384.0652460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c1,575$650 inWon+$924.542,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over30c1,160$348 inWon+$812.182,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over44c412.51$181 inWon+$231.592,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under69c357.96$245 inLost-$245.363,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over44c130.93$58 inWon+$73.1487744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under60c61$37 inLost-$36.6790357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under45c42.1$19 inLost-$191,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f2…3ca1backed Under74c40.53$30 inLost-$303852.6%20 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c38.79$17 inLost-$17.075,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda1…454fbacked Under42c30.62$13 inLost-$12.862123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.22per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29aa…e4eabacked Under42c30.62$13 inLost-$12.862119%4 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-59.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x671d…8118backed Under59c30.54$18 inLost-$17.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c26.08$14 inWon+$12.2676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Under73c21.07$15 inLost-$15.388563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under49c20.63$10 inLost-$10.1110951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.