TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,473 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under55c21,769$12,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,695.6743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd7…05d8backed Over45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,05030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c8,141$3,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,636.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,884$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c2,520$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.262,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over45c2,492$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over41c2,139$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.334,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c2,099$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.623,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over44c1,652$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under57c958.94$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.7126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c750.55$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.52,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over44c672.6$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c570.19$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.583,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under55c483.64$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.6447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over44c459$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under56c455$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.264651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over43c402.6$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6514742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over44c344.58$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.933,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over43c330$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c274.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under56c263$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.721,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8609…4897backed Under54c244.04$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.261464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9422453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over37c142.29$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.637549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c94.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under67c88.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over45c86.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under59c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4439055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under56c83.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c79.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over45c78.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under55c78.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1811348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under56c76.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.513,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc332…118fbacked Under55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.732650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under58c71.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3120350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over32c64.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.453,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa88…9ff5backed Over46c62.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3227…5df7backed Over46c61.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.491250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe285…5754backed Over46c60.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20a6…0b06backed Over46c58.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9453839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…2e44backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c50.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over22c49.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9614636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Under52c49.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.663351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under56c44.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.596956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under58c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under52c35.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1661747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…2db8backed Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.314837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under53c32.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1628536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under53c32.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0854854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under47c27.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under50c23.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7336045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x715b…60b9backed Under54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Under58c20.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.477159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.287950.6%445 W · 434 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Under54c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under54c19.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c18.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8138…1a8abacked Under58c17.3$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.