NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84eb2801d0a45080bd15814f773a0f7f9ce7b50598e145d998211fe96f70f021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Under | 47c | 19,100$8,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,123.1 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 51c | 18,052$9,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,270.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 9,560$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.52 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 8,500$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00bb…bc4cbacked Under | 48c | 5,400$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 5,337$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 10c | 3,400$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.97 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 3,311$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba93…2740backed Under | 48c | 2,896$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 42c | 2,517$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…b2d4backed Under | 48c | 2,504$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 53c | 1,897$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.22 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 54c | 1,881$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 1,881$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.7 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 1,725$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.27 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.83 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…05d8backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 665$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.45 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 53c | 649.25$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 485.5$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.31 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 53c | 338.04$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.27 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 15c | 278.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 269.21$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 51c | 177.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Over | 50c | 170.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Over | 53c | 92.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 89.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Under | 47c | 84.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Under | 48c | 83.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 54c | 82.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 56c | 72.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 47c | 70.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 48c | 68.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 65.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 53c | 59.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 47c | 47.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…f498backed Over | 54c | 42.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…07a8backed Over | 56c | 36.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 74c | 35.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 53c | 25.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…4cc3backed Over | 56c | 22.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4c…afcebacked Over | 55c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…5527backed Over | 53c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 19.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5this page
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Daniss Jenkins: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Nets vs. PistonsNets won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 208.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 209.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-20.5)Nets won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Nets won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.