NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98585177306dfa330ba6e16ea98c0ed7912df6e64e6f7f9177d914b920f900c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $466,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Senators | 62c | 102,533$63,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,962.43 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 38c | 95,437$36,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,566.38 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Flames | 39c | 65,000$25,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,350 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Senators | 61c | 36,083$22,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,072.28 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Flames | 38c | 23,538$8,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,944.44 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 61c | 21,568$13,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,411.46 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 61c | 13,819$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,343.26 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Flames | 38c | 12,640$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.2 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 38c | 12,179$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 58c | 10,911$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 61c | 10,274$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.39 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Senators | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Senators | 62c | 9,209$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.66 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flames | 38c | 9,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.94 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 38c | 8,191$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.69 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Senators | 61c | 8,107$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.65 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Senators | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Senators | 61c | 6,695$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.23 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Flames | 15c | 6,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Senators | 62c | 5,645$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.16 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Senators | 45c | 5,376$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.8 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Flames | 41c | 5,192$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flames | 39c | 5,164$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.8 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Flames | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Senators | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Flames | 38c | 4,592$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 60c | 4,173$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.82 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flames | 40c | 4,048$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.79 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.26 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 40c | 3,898$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 60c | 3,841$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.16 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Senators | 60c | 3,680$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Flames | 39c | 3,648$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.72 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Flames | 39c | 3,500$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.18 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Senators | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 61c | 3,182$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.26 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Senators | 61c | 3,071$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.32 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Senators | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 45c | 2,921$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 40c | 2,913$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Flames | 39c | 2,792$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Flames | 40c | 2,782$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 45c | 2,778$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.25 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Flames | 39c | 2,674$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.88 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Flames | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Senators | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 41c | 2,482$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.74 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Senators | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Flames | 38c | 2,400$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Flames | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Flames | 29c | 2,161$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.5 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Flames | 40c | 2,145$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…cb2cbacked Senators | 61c | 2,139$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.27 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Flames | 38c | 2,115$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.7 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 39c | 1,902$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.72 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Senators | 58c | 1,817$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Flames | 39c | 1,700$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 39c | 1,684$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.42 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Senators | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Senators | 63c | 1,600$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.75 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 9c | 1,600$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Flames | 39c | 1,500$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 45c | 1,484$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Flames | 37c | 1,353$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Senators | 62c | 1,316$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Flames | 30c | 1,315$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Senators | 61c | 1,295$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.08 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Flames | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Flames | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Senators | 60c | 999.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Senators | 61c | 990$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.1 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…0944backed Flames | 40c | 973.28$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Senators | 55c | 909.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Senators | 61c | 834.43$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Flames | 40c | 809.37$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.42 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Senators | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Senators | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Senators | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Senators | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Senators | 45c | 785.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Flames | 58c | 780$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.4 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e2…a56ebacked Senators | 61c | 770$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed Flames | 40c | 760$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…83cfbacked Flames | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…a0f1backed Senators | 61c | 740$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 79c | 712.06$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flames | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flames | 40c | 626$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Flames | 39c | 610.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.89 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flames | 39c | 606.03$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.16 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…7c92backed Senators | 61c | 600.46$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Flames | 38c | 590$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Senators | 63c | 587.27$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.54 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Senators | 62c | 580.4$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…7b22backed Flames | 40c | 554.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Flamesthis page
- Senators vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Flames: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.