TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,194,026

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,194,026 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Sharks57c433,404$245,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245,924.4367051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blues44c162,000$71,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,650.0248545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues43c147,614$63,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,788.8456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blues44c110,308$48,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,001.021,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Blues43c100,000$43,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,999.9122443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Blues45c70,000$31,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,499.9315054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Sharks55c61,050$33,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,577.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues44c60,917$26,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,258.251,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sharks57c59,971$34,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,183.7241850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks55c55,569$30,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,562.9236748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks55c49,754$27,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,364.8840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Blues45c30,667$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,866.858657%49 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Blues45c29,881$13,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,434.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Blues43c23,051$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,139.18450%42 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks55c22,684$12,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,582.8261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blues42c18,888$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,955.0421850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Blues43c18,531$7,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,562.4547951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Sharks55c18,132$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Sharks57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues56c17,533$9,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,633.492,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks57c14,705$8,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,373.6679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues52c14,243$7,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,790.411,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Sharks56c11,534$6,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,438.9461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Sharks57c10,671$6,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,075.5861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blues42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Sharks56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6006940.6%28 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Sharks55c9,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.9815749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Blues57c8,616$4,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,710.4989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Sharks45c7,630$3,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.1343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues45c7,326$3,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.251,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Blues45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.944546.7%21 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Sharks57c6,141$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Sharks41c6,000$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Sharks57c5,832$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blues46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70027243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sharks57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9533151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sharks57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,849.9821755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Blues70c4,848$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Blues44c4,822$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.5551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks54c4,786$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.481,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Sharks2c4,600$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+1,341.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks57c4,479$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.981,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Sharks56c4,464$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blues46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.8385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Sharks1c4,240$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7530944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd98f…4273backed Sharks2c4,206$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Sharks55c4,061$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.4666552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Blues43c4,000$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,28039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Sharks55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2009552.6%50 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks37c3,668$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.475251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blues44c3,500$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,971.7189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Sharks57c3,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Blues43c3,500$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.9927048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks43c3,417$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.662,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Sharks44c3,300$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.4225635.9%92 W · 164 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Blues53c3,230$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.961,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Blues43c3,134$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.1748549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Sharks2c3,059$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6129053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Blues43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,71025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc339…ba5bbacked Sharks56c2,986$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6727149.3%35 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Sharks35c2,939$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.66550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sharks3c2,820$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.57347.9%35 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Blues66c2,814$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.417051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Sharks55c2,725$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.84252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Sharks33c2,697$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.3758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blues43c2,638$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.2959450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Sharks44c2,633$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.4921555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Sharks57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Sharks55c2,550$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Sharks55c2,500$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36933652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blues43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Blues65c2,478$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.3989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Sharks2c2,400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+971.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Sharks1c2,390$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.918520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues44c2,382$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.9560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues57c2,356$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.843,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blues46c2,300$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues44c2,257$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.4291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sharks44c2,228$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.2934538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Sharks5c2,200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+123.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sharks54c2,050$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.1445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blues44c2,000$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12568449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed Sharks55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Sharks54c1,980$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.7262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks36c1,976$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.3299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Sharks54c1,947$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6094…e860backed Sharks55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Sharks57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Blues45c1,751$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.1513948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Sharks7c1,700$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+971.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Sharks27c1,674$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues54c1,600$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.4995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Blues42c1,570$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.3421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Sharks51c1,543$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.5425555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blues46c1,507$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.2823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sharks54c1,500$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.9315145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues62c1,498$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.161,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f79…8be3backed Sharks54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks55c1,382$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks54c1,354$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.111,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.