NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742f0350e33aacaf792f20b1111a27e1d8a684d08dd8c55b33776f76f2a0795e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Sharks, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,938 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 65c | 2,280$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.98 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Blues | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.17 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sharks | 34c | 1,836$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.15 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sharks | 35c | 1,730$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.88 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Blues | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Sharks | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sharks | 35c | 895$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blues | 65c | 827.58$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Sharks | 32c | 662.74$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.3 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Sharks | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 65c | 452.93$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Sharks | 35c | 440.26$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blues | 78c | 217.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…329dbacked Sharks | 33c | 193$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…3317backed Blues | 67c | 188$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1a7ebacked Blues | 67c | 182$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…601bbacked Sharks | 33c | 177$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Blues | 68c | 176.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5542…01cebacked Blues | 66c | 173.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Blues | 79c | 166.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Sharks | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Blues | 68c | 116.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blues | 73c | 111.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks | 23c | 101.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Blues | 69c | 98.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 17c | 91.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Sharks | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Sharks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sharks | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sharks | 35c | 53.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…ea6fbacked Sharks | 35c | 49.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Sharks | 35c | 47.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Blues | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Blues | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Sharks | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Sharks | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Blues | 69c | 23.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Blues | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Blues | 64c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blues | 62c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sharks (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. SharksBlues won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.