TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No72c412.46$297 inLost-$296.9723319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes28c343.15$96 inWon+$247.481533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed No52c253.4$131 inLost-$131.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No18c241.61$44 inLost-$43.6170%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa42c…5a6ebacked Yes43c230.95$99 inWon+$131.831225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Yes27c177.07$48 inWon+$129.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No73c174.27$127 inLost-$127.214436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No73c99.99$73 inLost-$72.996142.6%26 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No47c82.2$39 inLost-$38.714065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e64…35d1backed Yes28c68.34$19 inWon+$49.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No25c57.59$14 inLost-$14.425449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x920c…09d1backed Yes27c53.32$14 inWon+$38.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6119…346ebacked No37c52.59$19 inLost-$19.350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…614dbacked Yes29c50$15 inWon+$35.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No48c49.57$24 inLost-$24.036958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8e…20fabacked No54c46.04$25 inLost-$24.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes59c37.42$22 inWon+$15.526839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No73c35.66$26 inLost-$26.132661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…d98abacked No43c26.95$12 inLost-$11.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a9…4314backed Yes77c25.62$20 inWon+$5.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked No73c21$15 inLost-$15.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-69.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.