TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a9…4314

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$13.01
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$13.93
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.97
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.41
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$18.65
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Jetsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$8.14
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$6.29
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+313%+$59.75
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$12.51
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.