MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d64417a5fb17e55443e13ac055b7b15ae2c26c8ab57833d4b87a70ea41eef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Miami Marlins, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 160,303$96,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,121.28 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 134,856$53,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,942.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,640 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 17,363$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,118.75 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 8,760$5,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 8,750$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.94 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 7,156$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.03 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 4,495$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.07 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 4,366$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.03 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 4,223$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.72 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 3,877$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,741$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.93 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 2,584$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,371$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.58 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.6 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,131$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.21 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Atlanta Braves | 27c | 2,049$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.89 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 2,003$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.4 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,664$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.76 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,634$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.53 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,605$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.11 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 1,595$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.78 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,464$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.6 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,405$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.05 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,403$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,398$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 1,325$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.18 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Miami Marlins | 11c | 1,295$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,158$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.18 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.45 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,076$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 1,044$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.44 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 19c | 1,030$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.66 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 918.62$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.45 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves | 23c | 905.33$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 901.07$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 900$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 868.14$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 74c | 814.36$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 763.14$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 678.57$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Miami Marlins | 29c | 656.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 651.08$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 602.31$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 600$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 558.2$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.12 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 544.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.77 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b43backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 542.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3c7bbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 532.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 526.48$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Atlanta Braves | 20c | 498.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.72 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f5…ab8cbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…c72abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 470.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 458.8$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 453$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 447.69$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 436.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.04 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Atlanta Braves | 22c | 430.8$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 417.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 409.92$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 405.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…b291backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 395.2$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 392.92$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 363.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 348.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 348.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 342.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 323.3$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Miami Marlins | 65c | 300.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 299.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 294.72$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 280.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 279.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 274.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 251.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.68 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 250.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 250.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 248.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 245.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Miami Marlins | 21c | 241.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…6ad4backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 240.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 235.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 230.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f40…66aabacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 223.92$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.